根据新疆地区1951—2008年月降水资料,运用(旋转)经验正交函数分解(REOF/EOF)、主成分分析、分形理论及地统计学等方法探讨了降水的空间结构及空间变异性。结果表明:降水空间分布以南疆—北疆相反型、北疆—东疆一致与南疆相反的复杂型为主;北疆降水有增加,而南疆则有相对减少的趋势。20世纪50年代和2001—2008年两个时段变异函数曲线符合指数函数,其余时段与球状模型拟合较优;随机因素引起的空间异质性占0.06%~0.17%。20世纪60年代和80年代新疆地区空间变异性最强 ...
徐利岗, 徐文才
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