Results 1 to 10 of about 244 (54)
Modelling stock returns with AR-GARCH processes [PDF]
Financial returns are often modelled as autoregressive time series with random disturbances having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH type processes.
Ferenstein, Elzbieta, Gasowski, Miroslaw
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The tail of the stationary distribution of a random coefficient AR(q) model
We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail.
Kluppelberg, Claudia +1 more
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Asymptotic equivalence for inference on the volatility from noisy observations
We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise.
Reiß, Markus
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Continuous invertibility and stable QML estimation of the EGARCH(1,1) model [PDF]
We introduce the notion of continuous invertibility on a compact set for volatility models driven by a Stochastic Recurrence Equation (SRE). We prove the strong consistency of the Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) when the optimization procedure ...
Wintenberger, Olivier
core +5 more sources
The role of exchange rate dynamics in Bulgaria and Romania in the process of economic transition [PDF]
Our contribution focuses on the role of the exchange rate changes in Bulgaria and Romania during the transition process toward a market economy. We are interested in the degree of exchange rate pass-through to the domestic inflation in these countries ...
Němec Daniel, Žídek Libor
core
Near-integrated GARCH sequences
Motivated by regularities observed in time series of returns on speculative assets, we develop an asymptotic theory of GARCH(1,1) processes {y_k} defined by the equations y_k=\sigma_k\epsilon_k, \sigma_k^2=\omega +\alpha y_{k-1}^2+\beta \sigma_{k-1}^2 ...
Berkes, Istvan +2 more
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ANOVA for diffusions and It\^{o} processes
It\^{o} processes are the most common form of continuous semimartingales, and include diffusion processes. This paper is concerned with the nonparametric regression relationship between two such It\^{o} processes.
Mykland, Per Aslak, Zhang, Lan
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The impact of exchange rate changes on inflation in the V4 countries in the process of economic transition [PDF]
Our contribution focuses on the role of the exchange rate changes in the V4 countries during the transition process towards a market economy. Regarding the variety of exchange rate regimes implemented in the V4 countries at the start of the economic ...
Němec Daniel, Žídek Libor
core
Break detection in the covariance structure of multivariate time series models
In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic test procedure to assess the stability of volatilities and cross-volatilites of linear and nonlinear multivariate time series models.
Aue, Alexander +3 more
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This paper studies the quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE) in a general conditionally heteroscedastic time series model of multiplicative form $X_t=\sigma_tZ_t$, where the unobservable volatility $\sigma_t$ is a parametric function of $(X_{t-1},...,
Mikosch, Thomas, Straumann, Daniel
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