Results 1 to 10 of about 244 (54)

Modelling stock returns with AR-GARCH processes [PDF]

open access: yes, 2004
Financial returns are often modelled as autoregressive time series with random disturbances having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH type processes.
Ferenstein, Elzbieta, Gasowski, Miroslaw
core   +2 more sources

The tail of the stationary distribution of a random coefficient AR(q) model

open access: yes, 2004
We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail.
Kluppelberg, Claudia   +1 more
core   +2 more sources

Asymptotic equivalence for inference on the volatility from noisy observations

open access: yes, 2011
We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise.
Reiß, Markus
core   +1 more source

Continuous invertibility and stable QML estimation of the EGARCH(1,1) model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2012
We introduce the notion of continuous invertibility on a compact set for volatility models driven by a Stochastic Recurrence Equation (SRE). We prove the strong consistency of the Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) when the optimization procedure ...
Wintenberger, Olivier
core   +5 more sources

The role of exchange rate dynamics in Bulgaria and Romania in the process of economic transition [PDF]

open access: yes, 2014
Our contribution focuses on the role of the exchange rate changes in Bulgaria and Romania during the transition process toward a market economy. We are interested in the degree of exchange rate pass-through to the domestic inflation in these countries ...
Němec Daniel, Žídek Libor
core  

Near-integrated GARCH sequences

open access: yes, 2005
Motivated by regularities observed in time series of returns on speculative assets, we develop an asymptotic theory of GARCH(1,1) processes {y_k} defined by the equations y_k=\sigma_k\epsilon_k, \sigma_k^2=\omega +\alpha y_{k-1}^2+\beta \sigma_{k-1}^2 ...
Berkes, Istvan   +2 more
core   +1 more source

ANOVA for diffusions and It\^{o} processes

open access: yes, 2006
It\^{o} processes are the most common form of continuous semimartingales, and include diffusion processes. This paper is concerned with the nonparametric regression relationship between two such It\^{o} processes.
Mykland, Per Aslak, Zhang, Lan
core   +1 more source

The impact of exchange rate changes on inflation in the V4 countries in the process of economic transition [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
Our contribution focuses on the role of the exchange rate changes in the V4 countries during the transition process towards a market economy. Regarding the variety of exchange rate regimes implemented in the V4 countries at the start of the economic ...
Němec Daniel, Žídek Libor
core  

Break detection in the covariance structure of multivariate time series models

open access: yes, 2008
In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic test procedure to assess the stability of volatilities and cross-volatilites of linear and nonlinear multivariate time series models.
Aue, Alexander   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Quasi-maximum-likelihood estimation in conditionally heteroscedastic time series: A stochastic recurrence equations approach

open access: yes, 2006
This paper studies the quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE) in a general conditionally heteroscedastic time series model of multiplicative form $X_t=\sigma_tZ_t$, where the unobservable volatility $\sigma_t$ is a parametric function of $(X_{t-1},...,
Mikosch, Thomas, Straumann, Daniel
core   +1 more source

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