Results 31 to 40 of about 548 (159)
Vaccination strategy on a geographic network
We considered a simple model describing the propagation of an epidemic on a geographical network. The initial rate of growth of the epidemic is the maximal eigenvalue of a matrix formed by the susceptibles and the graph Laplacian.
Knippel, Arnaud +2 more
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Bayesian Inference for SIR Epidemic Model with dependent parameters
This paper is concerned with the Bayesian inference for the dependent parameters of stochastic SIR epidemic model in a closed population. The estimation framework involves the introduction of m − 1 latent data between every pair of observations. Kibble’s
Qaffou Abdelaziz +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Estimating the reproduction number and designing the integrated strategies against dengue
Dengue poses social and economic burden in the world. Around 390 million cases have been identified with 96 millions showing clinical symptoms. Vector control methods have been widely used as strategies against dengue.
Meksianis Z. Ndii +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Trachoma remains a leading cause of preventable blindness in many low‐resource settings, driven by persistent transmission within closely interacting age groups. In this study, we develop and analyze a nonlinear age‐structured compartmental model that captures the transmission dynamics of trachoma between children and adults.
Berhe Nerea Kahsay +3 more
wiley +1 more source
How to Obtain Long Term Projections for Smoking Behaviour: A Case Study in the Dutch Population
A state‐transition model is presented to project the prevalence rates of never, current and former smokers within the Dutch population. Changes are determined by the transition rates among these three classes: start rates, quit rates and relapse rates. Both the initial prevalence rates and transition rates are calculated from cross‐sectional data using
Maurizio Capannesi +3 more
wiley +1 more source
A primer on stochastic epidemic models: Formulation, numerical simulation, and analysis
Some mathematical methods for formulation and numerical simulation of stochastic epidemic models are presented. Specifically, models are formulated for continuous-time Markov chains and stochastic differential equations. Some well-known examples are used
Linda J.S. Allen
doaj +1 more source
Are the upper bounds for new SARS-CoV-2 infections in Germany useful?
At the end of 2019, an outbreak of a new coronavirus, called SARS–CoV–2, was reported in China and later in other parts of the world. First infection reported in Germany by the end of January 2020 and on March 16th, 2020 the federal government announced ...
Bock Wolfgang +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Determination in Galicia of the required beds at Intensive Care Units
By using a recent mathematical compartmental model that includes the super-spreader class and developed by Ndaïrou, Area, Nieto, and Torres, a procedure to estimate in advance the number of required beds at intensive care units is presented.
Iván Area +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Dynamics of a Spatially Heterogeneous Stochastic SVIR Epidemic Model
This paper investigates a spatially heterogeneous stochastic reaction–diffusion SVIR epidemic model incorporating vaccination, waning immunity, and environmental fluctuations. The proposed system extends the classical deterministic epidemic framework by introducing diffusion effects, spatially dependent transmission rates, and multiplicative Gaussian ...
Sayed Murad Ali Shah +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Time to Extinction in Branching Processes and its Application in Epidemiology [PDF]
2010 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 60J80; Secondary 92D30.The contemporary state of the theory of branching processes implies their application to any abstract population where individuals produce a set of new individuals.
Slavtchova-Bojkova, M.
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