Results 31 to 40 of about 529 (153)

A vaccination model for COVID-19 in Gauteng, South Africa

open access: yesInfectious Disease Modelling, 2022
The COVID-19 pandemic provides an opportunity to explore the impact of government mandates on movement restrictions and non-pharmaceutical interventions on a novel infection, and we investigate these strategies in early-stage outbreak dynamics.
Christina J. Edholm   +10 more
doaj   +1 more source

Memory Effect on COVID‐19 Vaccination Dynamics: Fractional‐Order Modeling Approach

open access: yesJournal of Applied Mathematics, Volume 2026, Issue 1, 2026.
Accurate estimates of vaccine effectiveness are essential for designing effective COVID‐19 vaccination strategies. Memory effects play a critical role in both the development and waning of vaccine‐induced immunity. In this study, we develop a fractional‐order COVID‐19 transmission model using Caputo fractional derivatives to capture the memory ...
Samir Kumar Bhowmik   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian Inference for SIR Epidemic Model with dependent parameters

open access: yesMoroccan Journal of Pure and Applied Analysis, 2022
This paper is concerned with the Bayesian inference for the dependent parameters of stochastic SIR epidemic model in a closed population. The estimation framework involves the introduction of m − 1 latent data between every pair of observations. Kibble’s
Qaffou Abdelaziz   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Estimating the reproduction number and designing the integrated strategies against dengue

open access: yesResults in Physics, 2021
Dengue poses social and economic burden in the world. Around 390 million cases have been identified with 96 millions showing clinical symptoms. Vector control methods have been widely used as strategies against dengue.
Meksianis Z. Ndii   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Controlo ótimo fracionário e aplicações biológicas [PDF]

open access: yes, 2022
In this PhD thesis, we derive a Pontryagin Maximum Principle (PMP) for fractional optimal control problems and analyze a fractional mathematical model of COVID– 19 transmission dynamics.
Ndaïrou, Faïçal
core  

Temperature‐Driven Dynamics of Tomato Yellow Leaf Curl Virus: A Mathematical Modeling Approach

open access: yesJournal of Applied Mathematics, Volume 2026, Issue 1, 2026.
Purpose Tomato yellow leaf curl virus (TYLCV), transmitted by whiteflies, is a highly destructive pathogen that threatens tomato production worldwide. Temperature plays a crucial role in determining how tomato plants respond to TYLCV infection, primarily because it influences the activity and population dynamics of insect vectors.
Berhe Nerea Kahsay   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

How to Obtain Long Term Projections for Smoking Behaviour: A Case Study in the Dutch Population

open access: yesComputational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, Volume 10, Issue 2, Page 155-164, 2009., 2009
A state‐transition model is presented to project the prevalence rates of never, current and former smokers within the Dutch population. Changes are determined by the transition rates among these three classes: start rates, quit rates and relapse rates. Both the initial prevalence rates and transition rates are calculated from cross‐sectional data using
Maurizio Capannesi   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Are the upper bounds for new SARS-CoV-2 infections in Germany useful?

open access: yesComputational and Mathematical Biophysics, 2021
At the end of 2019, an outbreak of a new coronavirus, called SARS–CoV–2, was reported in China and later in other parts of the world. First infection reported in Germany by the end of January 2020 and on March 16th, 2020 the federal government announced ...
Bock Wolfgang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Determination in Galicia of the required beds at Intensive Care Units

open access: yesAlexandria Engineering Journal, 2021
By using a recent mathematical compartmental model that includes the super-spreader class and developed by Ndaïrou, Area, Nieto, and Torres, a procedure to estimate in advance the number of required beds at intensive care units is presented.
Iván Area   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of Trachoma Transmission Dynamics: Evaluating the Synergy of Mass Drug Administration and Adult‐Targeted Education

open access: yesJournal of Applied Mathematics, Volume 2026, Issue 1, 2026.
Trachoma remains a leading cause of preventable blindness in many low‐resource settings, driven by persistent transmission within closely interacting age groups. In this study, we develop and analyze a nonlinear age‐structured compartmental model that captures the transmission dynamics of trachoma between children and adults.
Berhe Nerea Kahsay   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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