Shrinkage Methods for Estimating the Shape Parameter of the Generalized Pareto Distribution
The generalized Pareto distribution is one of the most important distributions in statistics of extremes as it has wide applications in fields such as finance, insurance, and hydrology.
Wilhemina Adoma Pels+3 more
doaj +1 more source
Model Comparison and Calibration Assessment: User Guide for Consistent Scoring Functions in Machine Learning and Actuarial Practice [PDF]
One of the main tasks of actuaries and data scientists is to build good predictive models for certain phenomena such as the claim size or the number of claims in insurance. These models ideally exploit given feature information to enhance the accuracy of prediction. This user guide revisits and clarifies statistical techniques to assess the calibration
arxiv +1 more source
How Accounting Ends: Self‐Undermining Repetition in Accounting Life Cycles*
ABSTRACT This study develops a process model of how accounting may come to an end. Grounded in a longitudinal study of a risk culture survey, this model focuses on the dynamics that underpin the repetition of accounting practices, and sheds light on two boundary conditions of successful repetition and continuation, which are in tension with each other.
Tommaso Palermo+2 more
wiley +1 more source
Three fundamental problems in risk modeling on big data: an information theory view [PDF]
Since Claude Shannon founded Information Theory, information theory has widely fostered other scientific fields, such as statistics, artificial intelligence, biology, behavioral science, neuroscience, economics, and finance. Unfortunately, actuarial science has hardly benefited from information theory.
arxiv
Do Audit Teams Affect Audit Production and Quality? Evidence from Audit Teams' Industry Knowledge*
ABSTRACT We examine how the extent and distribution of industry knowledge within an audit team affect audit outcomes. While prior research examining the role of auditors' industry knowledge focuses mainly on audit firms, audit offices, and audit partners, audits are conducted by audit teams.
Steven F. Cahan+3 more
wiley +1 more source
Designing an Updatable Long Term Health Insurance [PDF]
In this paper, we considered the long-term health insurance as a sequence of annual health insurance policies. To improve the disadvantages of long-term health insurance, we specify the optimal contract including optimal insurance premiums and optimal ...
Atefeh Kanani Dizaji+2 more
doaj +1 more source
Stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of series and parallel systems with dependent and heterogeneous components [PDF]
This work considers stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of series and parallel systems with dependent and heterogeneous components having lifetimes following the proportional odds (PO) model. The joint distribution of component lifetimes is modeled by Archimedean survival copula.
arxiv +1 more source
Rethinking Representations in P&C Actuarial Science with Deep Neural Networks [PDF]
Insurance companies gather a growing variety of data for use in the insurance process, but most traditional ratemaking models are not designed to support them. In particular, many emerging data sources (text, images, sensors) may complement traditional data to provide better insights to predict the future losses in an insurance contract.
arxiv
In the nearly thirty years since Hans Buhlmann (Buhlmann (1987)) set out the notion of the Actuary of the Third Kind, the connection between Actuarial Science (AS) and Mathematical Finance (MF) has been continually reinforced.
Albert Cohen
doaj +1 more source
The outbreak of COVID-19 infection and its effects have not spared any economy on the globe. The fourth variant has just announced its appearance with its high death toll and impact on economic activities. The basic reproductive number R0, which measures
John Awuah Addor+2 more
doaj +1 more source