News shocks, consumer confidence and business cycles
Abstract We study the causal effects of consumer sentiment shocks on macroeconomic aggregates. By constructing a novel instrument based on major non‐economic news shocks in the USA over 1969–2022, and opinion polls around these events, we identify exogenous changes in consumer confidence.
Syed M. Hussain, Zara Liaqat
wiley +1 more source
On Hodge polynomials for nonalgebraic complex manifolds. [PDF]
Katzarkov L +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Understanding the mechanisms controlling community diversity is a central, topic in ecology, particularly in microbial ecology. Although species pools and local assembly processes are believed to play non‐negligible roles in shaping the within‐community (α) and among‐community (β) diversity of microbial communities, their relative importance as ...
Xiao Zhang +10 more
wiley +1 more source
Generalized triangle group based S-box construction for secure image encryption. [PDF]
Abbasi AZ +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Effective bounds of linear serieson algebraic varieties and arithmetic varieties
Xinyi Yuan, Tong Zhang
openalex +2 more sources
Why Interest Groups With Divergent Goals Collaborate: Evidence From Climate Regulation
ABSTRACT Why do interest groups with contrasting interests and policy goals work together? I present a theory of collaborative policy production and show that interest groups can achieve higher policy gains through collaboration, even though their ideal policy goals may diverge significantly.
Dahyun Choi
wiley +1 more source
Novel closed-form travelling wave solutions for space-time fractional coupled Boussinesq-Burger model using extended direct algebraic method. [PDF]
Radwan T +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Projectivity and unification in the varieties of locally finite monadic MV-algebras
Antonio Di Nola +2 more
openalex +2 more sources
Building a Potemkin village in occupied China: Japan's wartime system of linked trade, 1939–43
Abstract The paper discusses the novel but little‐known exchange rate system of Japanese‐occupied North China during the Second Sino‐Japanese War, in which exporters were given the right to import in the form of a piece of yellow paper, which could be sold in the secondary market.
Shinji Takagi
wiley +1 more source
Maximum likelihood estimation of log-affine models using detailed-balanced reaction networks. [PDF]
Henriksson O +3 more
europepmc +1 more source

