Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley +1 more source
Energy-dissipative adaptive-step L1 discretisation for the Caputo time-fractional incompressible magnetohydrodynamic system. [PDF]
Abidin MZ.
europepmc +1 more source
A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes
Abstract Regression models are often used to analyze discrete outcomes, but classical goodness‐of‐fit tests such as those based on the deviance or Pearson's statistic can be misleading or have little power in this context. To address this issue, we propose a new test, inspired by the work of Czado et al.
Lu Yang +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Multiharmonic Algorithms for Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound. [PDF]
Nikolić V, Rauscher T.
europepmc +1 more source
Non‐negative Gaussian estimation of variance components in random effects models
Abstract When used to estimate variance components (VCs), confidence intervals (CIs) can be truncated at zero, have a point estimate not in the quoted CI, be empty with positive probability, or be all‐inclusive. This is because they have conflicting dual roles, since they are considered to cover the parameter with a specified probability while also ...
André Plante, Michael Plante
wiley +1 more source
Modeling and analysis of stochastic quantum magnetohydrodynamics equations with energy estimates. [PDF]
Divyabala K, Durga N.
europepmc +1 more source
A partial envelope approach for modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data
Abstract In the new era of big data, modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data is a challenging task due to both the high dimensionality of the features and complex associations among the responses across different locations and time points.
Reisa Widjaja +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Optimal error estimates of the diffuse domain method for second order parabolic equations. [PDF]
Hao W, Ju L, Xu Y.
europepmc +1 more source
The Huang–Yang Formula for the Low‐Density Fermi Gas: Upper Bound
ABSTRACT We study the ground state energy of a gas of spin 1/2$1/2$ fermions with repulsive short‐range interactions. We derive an upper bound that agrees, at low density ϱ$\varrho$, with the Huang–Yang conjecture. The latter captures the first three terms in an asymptotic low‐density expansion, and in particular the Huang–Yang correction term of order
Emanuela L. Giacomelli +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Calderón problem for nonlocal viscous wave equations: Unique determination of linear and nonlinear perturbations. [PDF]
Zimmermann P.
europepmc +1 more source

