Forecasting volatility in Asian financial markets: evidence from recursive and rolling window methods. [PDF]
Sahiner M.
europepmc +1 more source
long memory, inflation rate, inflation uncertainty, ARFIMA-FIGARCH, C22, E31, 长记忆性, 通货膨胀率, 通货膨胀不确定性, ARFIMA-FIGARCH,
Tingguo Zheng, Jinquan Liu, Jianli Sui
core +1 more source
Estimating Value-at-Risk for the Turkish Stock Index Futures in the Presence of Long Memory Volatility [PDF]
This paper examines the long memory properties for closing prices of the Turkish stock index futures market using the FIGARCH(1,d,1) model with three different distributions : Normal, Student-t, and skewed Student-t.
Adnan Kasman
core
Stock Market Volatility and Return Analysis: A Systematic Literature Review. [PDF]
Bhowmik R, Wang S.
europepmc +1 more source
Investigating Inflation Dynamics and Structural Change with an Adaptive ARFIMA Approach [PDF]
Previous models of monthly CPI inflation time series have focused on possible regime shifts, non-linearities and the feature of long memory. This paper proposes a new time series model, named Adaptive ARFIMA; which appears well suited to describe ...
Richard T. Baille, Claudio Morana
core
Forecasting volatility and volume in the Tokyo stock market: The advantage of long memory models [PDF]
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short-memory ...
Kaizoji, Taisei, Lux, Thomas
core
Long memory mean and volatility models of platinum and palladium price return series under heavy tailed distributions. [PDF]
Ranganai E, Kubheka SB.
europepmc +1 more source
Fractional Integration and Business Cycles Features [PDF]
We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well ...
Luis A. Gil-Alana, Bertrand Candelon
core
Forecasting UNTR Weekly Stock Price using ARFIMA
Predicting stock prices plays a pivotal role in the decision-making processes of organizations and individual investors. This research focuses on the predicting weekly closing stock prices, specifically for UNTR, using the ARFIMA method.
Gabriella Maria Singgih +1 more
core +1 more source
High-frequency enhanced VaR: A robust univariate realized volatility model for diverse portfolios and market conditions. [PDF]
Kuang W.
europepmc +1 more source

