Time series analysis of cutaneous leishmaniasis incidence in Shahroud based on ARIMA model. [PDF]
BMC Public Health, 2023 Majidnia M +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Unreachable, Inescapable: Sustainable Development as Normative Camouflage in EU–MERCOSUR Trade
JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, EarlyView.Abstract This article examines how sustainable development functions as a mechanism of stabilising asymmetry in North–South trade governance, using the European Union (EU)–Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR) agreement as a case study. Whilst sustainability is often framed as a normative good or institutional advance, the article shows instead how it ...
Asha Herten‐Crabb
wiley +1 more source
ARIMA MODEL IN PREDICTING OF COVID-19 EPIDEMIC FOR THE SOUTHERN AFRICA REGION. [PDF]
Afr J Infect Dis, 2023 Claris S, Peter N.
europepmc +1 more source
The expected inflation risk premium in the U.S. stock market
Journal of Financial Research, EarlyView.Abstract This article studies how expected inflation risk affects asset prices. We propose an ex‐ante, tradable proxy for this risk, derived from the term spread of gold futures prices. Using cross‐sectional and time series asset pricing tests, we show how an increase in expected inflation risk lowers contemporaneous prices and raises equity returns ...
Pascal Letourneau +2 more
wiley +1 more source
The prediction of Chongqing's GDP based on the LASSO method and chaotic whale group algorithm-back propagation neural network-ARIMA model. [PDF]
Sci Rep, 2023 Chen J, Chen J, Wu J.
europepmc +1 more source
Macroprudential Policy in the Euro Area
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract This paper examines the development and impact of macroprudential policies in the euro area. We construct a novel index that captures the stance of macroprudential policy, and we highlight its main stylized facts since the inception of the euro in 1999. We combine a narrative approach and a structural VAR method to show that both unanticipated
ÁLVARO FERNÁNDEZ‐GALLARDO +1 more
wiley +1 more source
The Brazilian National Oral Health Policy and oral cancer mortality trends: An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. [PDF]
PLoS One, 2023 Costa EM +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
EU ETS Market Expectations and Rational Bubbles
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) experienced sharp allowance price increases from 2018 onward, prompting claims that rational bubbles were driving the surge. We reassess this hypothesis using expectations based on futures prices.
CHRISTOPH WEGENER +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting New Tuberculosis Cases in Malaysia: A Time-Series Study Using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model. [PDF]
Cureus, 2023 Ab Rashid MA +3 more
europepmc +1 more source