Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley +1 more source
Moments of derivatives of quadratic Dirichlet <i>L</i>-functions with prime conductor. [PDF]
Best CG.
europepmc +1 more source
Jackknife bias‐corrected variance estimation for the generalized regression estimator
Abstract Commonly used variance estimators for the generalized regression estimator (GREG) are based on Taylor linearization and jackknife. Traditionally, a jackknife GREG variance estimator is obtained by jackknifing GREG, which consists of computing GREG from each of several subsamples of the parent sample, and estimating the variance of the parent ...
Marius Stefan, J.N.K Rao
wiley +1 more source
Numerical Analysis of BIMs for Stochastic SIR and SIS Models with Variable Contact Diffusion Rates. [PDF]
Schurz H, Tosun K.
europepmc +1 more source
A partial envelope approach for modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data
Abstract In the new era of big data, modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data is a challenging task due to both the high dimensionality of the features and complex associations among the responses across different locations and time points.
Reisa Widjaja +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Low-Latency Realism Through Randomized Distributed Function Computations: A Shannon Theoretic Approach. [PDF]
Günlü O, Skorski M, Poor HV.
europepmc +1 more source
Nonlinear permuted Granger causality
Abstract Granger causality is an established, contentious method that seeks causal temporal connections via association and precedence. While not true causal inference, it assists in mapping networks of information flow that may warrant further study.
Noah D. Gade, Jordan Rodu
wiley +1 more source
Asymptotic hyperfunctions, tempered hyperfunctions, and asymptotic expansions
Andreas U. Schmidt
doaj +1 more source
Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of the survival function using current lifetime data
Abstract An issue when estimating the failure time survival function is how to set up a prevalent cohort study infrastructure to follow subjects after enrollment. This problem can be circumvented through the well‐known Grenander density estimator using current lifetime observations only.
James H. McVittie, Masoud Asgharian
wiley +1 more source
Multitype SIR epidemics among a population partitioned into households with proportionate global mixing. [PDF]
Ball F, Critcher L.
europepmc +1 more source

