Results 91 to 100 of about 307,922 (236)
Forecasting Count Data With Varying Dispersion: A Latent‐Variable Approach
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Count data, such as product sales and disease case counts, are common in business forecasting and many areas of science. Although the Poisson distribution is the best known model for such data, its use is severely limited by its assumption that the dispersion is a fixed function of the mean, which rarely holds in real‐world scenarios.
Easton Huch +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Reweighted techniques: definition and asymptotic convergence
, 2003 32 pages, 4 figure, submitted to J.
openaire +2 more sources
Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
Adaptive Event-Triggered Consensus of Multi-Agent Systems in Sense of Asymptotic Convergence. [PDF]
Sensors (Basel)Hou Z +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley +1 more source
Household Consumption Intentions by Income Group During Monetary Policy Easing and Tightening
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We investigate how the monetary policy interest rate affects Brazilian households' consumption intentions under two distinct regimes: monetary easing and tightening cycles. Using data from low‐ and high‐income households, we assess both the magnitude and the dynamics of this relationship.
Helder Ferreira de Mendonça +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Stability analysis of nonlinear algebraic-differential equations with 2-delays and numerical methods. [PDF]
PLoS OneLiao H, Li Q, Xia X, Tang D.
europepmc +1 more source
On the Evolution of the Stock Market Efficiency: Evidence From Emerging Markets
International Studies of Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The study of market efficiency is one of the most covered topics in the field of financial markets, with the Efficient Market Hypothesis gathering devotees as well as several critics. The perception of markets as agents with an adaptive nature gave rise to the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH).
Júlio Lobão, Luís Pacheco, Nuno Cruz
wiley +1 more source