Results 201 to 210 of about 310,408 (297)

A Comparison of Realized Measures of Integrated Volatility: Price Duration‐ vs. Return‐Based Approaches

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the accuracy of a variety of parametric price duration‐based realized variance estimators constructed via various financial duration models and compare their forecasting performance with the performance of various nonparametric return‐based realized variance estimators.
Björn Schulte‐Tillmann, Mawuli Segnon, Timo Wiedemann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Entropy-Based Evidence Functions for Testing Dilation Order via Cumulative Entropies. [PDF]

Entropy (Basel)
Alshehri MA.
europepmc   +1 more source

Coherent Forecasting of Realized Volatility

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The QLIKE loss function is the stylized favorite of the literature on volatility forecasting when it comes to out‐of‐sample evaluation and the state of the art model for realized volatility (RV) forecasting is the HAR model, which minimizes the squared error loss for in‐sample estimation of the parameters.
Marius Puke, Karsten Schweikert
wiley   +1 more source

KULLBACK-LEIBLER-BASED DISCRETE FAILURE TIME MODELS FOR INTEGRATION OF PUBLISHED PREDICTION MODELS WITH NEW TIME-TO-EVENT DATASET. [PDF]

Ann Appl Stat
Wang D, Ye W, Sung R, Jiang H, Taylor JMG, Ly L, He K.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Data fusion methods for the heterogeneity of treatment effect and confounding function. [PDF]

Bernoulli (Andover)
Yang S, Liu S, Zeng D, Wang X.
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence From Markov‐Switching Multifractal Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu, Mawuli Segnon, Oguzhan Cepni, Rangan Gupta   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Extreme Values and Convergence of the Voronoi Entropy for 2D Random Point Processes and for Long-Range Order. [PDF]

Entropy (Basel)
Frenkel M, Legchenkova I, Bormashenko E, Shoval S, Nosonovsky M.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley   +1 more source

Wild bootstrap for counting process-based statistics: a martingale theory-based approach. [PDF]

Lifetime Data Anal
Dietrich MT, Dobler D, de Gunst MCM.
europepmc   +1 more source