Inference on function-valued parameters using a restricted score test. [PDF]
Hudson A, Carone M, Shojaie A.
europepmc +1 more source
Sequential Outlier Detection in Nonstationary Time Series
ABSTRACT A novel method for sequential outlier detection in nonstationary time series is proposed. The method tests the null hypothesis of “no outlier” at each time point, addressing the multiple testing problem by bounding the error probability of successive tests, using extreme‐value theory. The asymptotic properties of the test statistic are studied
Florian Heinrichs +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Nonparametric Tests for Exponentiality Against IFRA Alternatives Based on Cumulative Extropy Measures. [PDF]
Alqefari AA.
europepmc +1 more source
Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley +1 more source
The failure of the Ehlers-Kundt conjecture in the impulsive case. [PDF]
Frauenberger ML +2 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT The paper deals with the construction of a synthetic indicator of economic growth, obtained by projecting a quarterly measure of aggregate economic activity, namely gross domestic product (GDP), into the space spanned by a finite number of smooth principal components, representative of the medium‐to‐long‐run component of economic growth of a ...
Alessandro Giovannelli +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Steady bubbles and drops in inviscid fluids. [PDF]
Meyer D, Niebel L, Seis C.
europepmc +1 more source
Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley +1 more source
Quasi-Maximum Exponential Likelihood Estimation of Conditional Quantiles for GARCH Models Based on High-Frequency Augmented Data. [PDF]
Zhang Z, Zhao S, Cheng J, Wang A.
europepmc +1 more source
The Accuracy Smoothness Dilemma in Prediction: A Novel Multivariate M‐SSA Forecast Approach
ABSTRACT Forecasting presents a complex estimation challenge, as it involves balancing multiple, often conflicting, priorities and objectives. Conventional forecast optimization methods typically emphasize a single metric, such as minimizing the mean squared error (MSE), which may neglect other crucial aspects of predictive performance. To address this
Marc Wildi
wiley +1 more source

