Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley +1 more source
Lévy Diffusion Under Power-Law Stochastic Resetting. [PDF]
Liu J, Li Y, Marchesoni F.
europepmc +1 more source
A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes
Abstract Regression models are often used to analyze discrete outcomes, but classical goodness‐of‐fit tests such as those based on the deviance or Pearson's statistic can be misleading or have little power in this context. To address this issue, we propose a new test, inspired by the work of Czado et al.
Lu Yang +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Powering RCTs for Marginal Effects With GLMs Using Prognostic Score Adjustment. [PDF]
Højbjerre-Frandsen E +2 more
europepmc +1 more source
Jackknife bias‐corrected variance estimation for the generalized regression estimator
Abstract Commonly used variance estimators for the generalized regression estimator (GREG) are based on Taylor linearization and jackknife. Traditionally, a jackknife GREG variance estimator is obtained by jackknifing GREG, which consists of computing GREG from each of several subsamples of the parent sample, and estimating the variance of the parent ...
Marius Stefan, J.N.K Rao
wiley +1 more source
Navigating the unknown: Nanobubbles and the hidden complexity of aerophilic surfaces. [PDF]
Lü J.
europepmc +1 more source
A partial envelope approach for modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data
Abstract In the new era of big data, modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data is a challenging task due to both the high dimensionality of the features and complex associations among the responses across different locations and time points.
Reisa Widjaja +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Estimating Baseline Survival Function in the Proportional Hazards Model Under Monotone Hazards. [PDF]
Wu Y, Chappell R.
europepmc +1 more source
Nonlinear permuted Granger causality
Abstract Granger causality is an established, contentious method that seeks causal temporal connections via association and precedence. While not true causal inference, it assists in mapping networks of information flow that may warrant further study.
Noah D. Gade, Jordan Rodu
wiley +1 more source
Nonparametric Tests for Exponentiality Against IFRA Alternatives Based on Cumulative Extropy Measures. [PDF]
Alqefari AA.
europepmc +1 more source

