Results 111 to 120 of about 43,433 (258)

Impact of data assimilation on Arctic sea‐ice thickness variability and its coupling with atmospheric forcing

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We document for the first time how the assimilation of CS2SMOS observations improves the model representation of Arctic sea‐ice thickness (SIT) and its variability: biases are reduced (top row), while excessive variability in the Beaufort Sea and lack of variability in the ice pack are both corrected (bottom row).
Jiping Xie   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Microbial signatures define the ecosystem functions of the pelagic microbiome in a basin-scale, Southwest Atlantic Ocean. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Bergo NM   +20 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecast‐Error Diagnostics in Neural Weather Models

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Deep learning weather prediction models enable efficient forecast‐error diagnostics through auto‐differentiation and low computational cost. We apply grid‐point relaxation and gradient‐based error sensitivity to identify key forecast‐error sources. Results show that medium‐range forecasts in the midlatitudes benefit most from relaxing the stratosphere ...
Uroš Perkan   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty quantification in weather and climate models

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties over time on weather and climate time‐scales, estimated through ensembles that sample aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty using Bayesian neural networks for parameterisations in the Lorenz 1996 model. The spread shows the 16th and 84th percentiles.
Laura A. Mansfield   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Integrated ocean governance is needed in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean to foster fisheries, conservation and resilience to climate change. [PDF]

open access: yesDiscov Ocean
Palacios-Abrantes J   +12 more
europepmc   +1 more source

How interference between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the tropical Indo‐Pacific convection modulates wave trains along the subtropical jet: Impacts on the Asian winter climate

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study reveals that the combined effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and anomalous Indo‐Pacific Walker circulation on the excitation of the wave train along the wintertime subtropical jet strongly depend on their phase combination. Their impacts interfere constructively or destructively over South Asia, leading to notable differences in
Yuki Asazuma   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source

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