Results 11 to 20 of about 27,670 (236)

Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 1986
Abstract A natural generalization of the ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic) process introduced in Engle (1982) to allow for past conditional variances in the current conditional variance equation is proposed. Stationarity conditions and autocorrelation structure for this new class of parametric models are derived.
openaire   +5 more sources

Short-term user load forecasting based on GARCH-M family model with different distributions

open access: yes电力工程技术, 2022
Power load forecasting is one of the basic tasks power system research,and time series analysis is currently the most widely used forecasting method. Aiming at the fluctuation and the characteristics of peak and thick tail of user daily load time series ...
WANG Chen, YE Jiangming, HE Jiahong
doaj   +1 more source

Probabilistic Forecasting of Wind Power Generation Using Online LASSO VAR and EGARCH Model

open access: yesShanghai Jiaotong Daxue xuebao, 2023
Wind power generation has uncertainty due to the high fluctuation of wind speed. In traditional wind power prediction models, the uncertainty is measured by normal distribution with zero mean and constant variance.
WANG Peng, LI Yanting, ZHANG Yu
doaj   +1 more source

Dynamic Volatility Modeling of Indonesian Insurance Company Stocks

open access: yesJurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan, 2022
The Indonesian capital market is one of the investment destination countries for investors in developed countries. The development of economic conditions in Indonesia itself is considered suitable for investors to invest.
Budiandru Budiandru
doaj   +1 more source

Mildly Explosive Autoregression Under Stationary Conditional Heteroskedasticity [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, 2018
A limit theory is developed for mildly explosive autoregressions under stationary (weakly or strongly dependent) conditionally heteroskedastic errors. The conditional variance process is allowed to be stationary, integrable and mixingale, thus encompassing general classes of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity‐type or stochastic ...
Arvanitis, Stelios, Magdalinos, Tassos
openaire   +3 more sources

The Impact of the Introduction of Index Futures on the Daily Returns Anomaly in the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange

open access: yesInternational Journal of Financial Studies, 2021
This study investigated the impact of the introduction of the VN30-Index futures contract on the daily returns anomaly for the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE).
Loc Dong Truong, H. Swint Friday
doaj   +1 more source

Neural Generalised AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity

open access: yes, 2022
We propose Neural GARCH, a class of methods to model conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series. Neural GARCH is a neural network adaptation of the GARCH 1,1 model in the univariate case, and the diagonal BEKK 1,1 model in the multivariate case.
Yin, Zexuan, Barucca, Paolo
openaire   +2 more sources

ANALISIS EFEK MUSIM HUJAN DAN KEMARAU TERHADAP HARGA BERAS

open access: yesJurnal Manajemen Industri dan Logistik, 2018
This study analyzes the effects of the rainy and dry seasons on rice prices. Autoregressive and Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity / Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH / GARCH) with a ...
Kumara Jati
doaj   +1 more source

Are soft commodities markets affected by the Halloween effect?

open access: yesAgricultural Economics (AGRICECON), 2021
Within the last three decades commodity markets, including soft commodities markets, have become more and more like financial markets. As a result, prices of commodities may exhibit similar patterns or anomalies as those observed in the behaviour of ...
Monika Krawiec, Anna Górska
doaj   +1 more source

How influential is monetary policy on Ibovespa returns and volatility? [PDF]

open access: yesEconomiA
PurposeIs monetary policy neutral to Ibovespa index returns and volatility? To approximate neutrality, the Brazilian Government has implemented a system in which the financial sector’s economic agents contribute to their daily predictions about future ...
Joilson Giorno   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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