Results 51 to 60 of about 27,670 (236)

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant, Matus Mrazik, Steve Satchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Parameter estimation in nonlinear AR–GARCH models [PDF]

This paper develops an asymptotic estimation theory for nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a general nonlinear autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a general ...
Mika Meitz, Pentti Saikkonen
core   +3 more sources

The Impact of Federal Reserve Monetary Policy on Commodity Prices: Evidence from the U.S. Dollar Index and International Grain Futures and Spot Markets

Agriculture
There is a strong connection between the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and the trend of international food prices. Employing the average information share model, EGARCH(Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity), and DCC ...
Xuezhen Ba, Xizhao Wang, Yu Zhong
doaj   +1 more source

Structural vector autoregressions with heteroskedasticity: A comparison of different volatility models [PDF]

, 2015
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in ...
Lütkepohl, Helmut, Netšunajev, Aleksei
core   +1 more source

The Role of Price‐Volatility Cojumps in Volatility Forecasting

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether simultaneous jumps in prices and volatility improve volatility forecasting. Using up‐to‐date high‐frequency S&P 500 and VIX data, we identify price‐volatility cojumps at the intraday granularity and construct upside, downside, and asymmetric measures.
Kefu Liao
wiley   +1 more source

Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley   +1 more source

Price Volatility Spillover in Agricultural Markets: An Examination of U.S. Catfish Markets

Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2003
Price volatility spillovers in the U.S. catfish supply chain are analyzed based on monthly price data from 1980 through 2000 for catfish feed, its ingredients, and farm- and wholesale-level catfish.
Cumhur Buguk, Darren Hudson, Terrill R. Hanson   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Interplay Between Green Investment and Market Price Premia in Global Shipping

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Existing research emphasises that the driver of green investment is its future profitability. This paper shows that other investors' decisions also influence green investment. We take the example of scrubber installation in shipping, which is optional by regulation but has an established market for trading its underlying asset.
Yao Shi, Nikos C. Papapostolou, Malvina Marchese, Ioannis C. Moutzouris, Angelos Efstathiou   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

MODEL MATEMATIK UNTUK MENENTUKAN NILAI TUKAR MATA UANG RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLLAR AMERIKA

Jurnal Teknik Industri, 1999
The main objective of this paper is to estimate parameters in the heteroskedasticity models, particularly in Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity - ARCH(1) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity- GARCH(1,1).
Jani Rahardjo, Shirley Adelia, Siana Halim   +2 more
doaj  

Chaos, Fractionality, Nonlinear Contagion, and Causality Dynamics of the Metaverse, Energy Consumption, and Environmental Pollution: Markov-Switching Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Copula and Causality Methods

Fractal and Fractional
Metaverse (MV) technology introduces new tools for users each day. MV companies have a significant share in the total stock markets today, and their size is increasing.
Melike Bildirici, Özgür Ömer Ersin, Blend Ibrahim   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source