Results 141 to 150 of about 70,827 (296)

The size of informal economy in Pakistan [PDF]

This paper estimates the size of informal economy in Pakistan by using monetary approach with some modifications, electricity consumption approach and MIMIC model.
Arby, Muhammad Farooq, Hanif, Muhammad Nadim, Malik, Muhammad Jahanzeb   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source

Gasoline, diesel fuel and jet fuel demand in South Africa [PDF]

In recent years, the price and income elasticity of fuel demand in South Africa has featured prominently in energy and competition policy proceedings and in major corporate planning projects.
Willem H. Boshoff
core   +1 more source

Nowcasting World Trade With Machine Learning: A Three‐Step Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree‐based methods (random forest and gradient boosting) and their linear‐regression‐based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest and gradient boosting—linear). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform not only the tree‐based techniques ...
Menzie Chinn, Baptiste Meunier, Sebastian Stumpner   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting Natural Gas Futures Price Volatility of the United States: National Versus State‐Level Climate Concern Indexes

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper uses GARCH‐MIDAS to predict US natural gas futures volatility using national and state‐level Climate Concern Indexes (CCIs). We find that both national and state‐level CCIs positively affect price volatility. Notably, models using state‐level data—specifically those utilizing least‐squares (LS) weighting combinations—surpass the ...
Afees A. Salisu, Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, Rangan Gupta, Onur Polat   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The effect of climate change on food security in ethiopia using auto-regressive distributed lag model

Discover Sustainability
Background Ethiopia’s food security is significantly affected by climatic risks and is largely dependent on rain fed agriculture, which is susceptible to fluctuations in rainfall as well as variations in temperature and carbon emissions.
Yismaw Ayelign Mengistu, Yeshiye Abebaw Zemene, Mekuannet Worku Tefera, Ishwani Pasricha   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Impact of Democratization and Globalization on Environmental Sustainability in Brazil

Geological Journal, EarlyView.
Fossil fuel, economic globalisation, and economic growth drive environmental degradation while democratisation positively influences environmental quality. ABSTRACT Although Brazil still possesses significant ecological reserves, the surplus in its biocapacity has been rapidly declining in recent years.
Mustafa Naimoğlu, Mehmet Metin Dam, Serdar Ongan, Andrew Adewale Alola   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Climatic and non-climatic impacts on fish production in Bangladesh by using autoregressive distributed lag model

Discover Environment
Climate change puts Bangladeshi fish farming households at high risk for production. It poses serious impact on nutritional availability, livelihood, poverty, and income.
Mohammad Ismail Hossain, Esrat Jahan, Mst. Esmat Ara Begum   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A pitfall in joint stationarity, weak exogeneity and autoregressive distributed lag models [PDF]

Economics Bulletin, 2007
We prove weak exogeneity is an not an impossibility with an ADL structure in the marginal and in the conditional.
openaire   +1 more source

The Impact of Changes in Real Income and the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Trade in Goods and Services

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We use foreign trade data on both imports and exports of goods and services among a group of 15 advanced economies to determine the incomes and price elasticities of demand for exports and imports of goods, services and goods and services combined in the long run.
Tjeerd M. Boonman, Ioannis Litsios, Keith Pilbeam   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source