Market Integration and Nonlinear Price Transmission in 19th‐Century British Wheat Markets
ABSTRACT Important developments in infrastructure and institutions characterized 19th‐Century wheat markets in Great Britain. Among these developments was the construction of the national rail system which enabled cheaper and more efficient transport of grain and other bulky cargoes between inland towns and ports.
Barry K. Goodwin, A. Ford Ramsey
wiley +1 more source
Improving influenza prediction in Quanzhou, China: an ARIMAX model integrated with meteorological drivers. [PDF]
Pan H +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
The importance of considering regimes in long‐term asset allocation to real estate
Abstract We investigate the long‐term, regime‐dependent asset allocation of an investor's wealth in a mixed‐asset portfolio that includes publicly traded real estate. We show that augmenting standard VAR models with Markov‐switching features not only improves predictive power for asset returns but also introduces economically meaningful horizon effects
Massimo Guidolin +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Quantifying coupling and causality in dynamic bivariate systems: a unified framework for time-domain, spectral, and information-theoretic analysis. [PDF]
Sparacino L +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Abstract We estimate the price impact of very nearby concurrently listed properties in the Sydney housing market and assess their competition effects. We apply a hedonic model with spatiotemporal effects regularized via a graph Laplacian prior at the month‐by‐SA2 regional level to seven SA4 subregions of metropolitan Sydney. The model structure enables
Willem P. Sijp, Mengheng Li
wiley +1 more source
Endogenous conflict and the limits of predictive optimization. [PDF]
Chadefaux T, Schincariol T.
europepmc +1 more source
The impact of prosecutors’ office caseloads on case processing outcomes
Research Summary Contemporary criminal justice discourse frequently highlights rising caseloads as a crisis for prosecutors across the United States. Yet, empirical assessments of how caseloads impact prosecutorial decision making are scarce. This study exploits data on office caseloads and cases disposed between 2021 and 2024 in 19 prosecutors ...
R. R. Dunlea, Don Stemen
wiley +1 more source
Effects of environmental factors on dengue incidence in the Central Region, Burkina Faso: A time series analyses. [PDF]
Ouédraogo JCRP +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Warm Spring Weather Alters Calling Phenology of Four Sympatric Early‐Breeding Anurans
An unusually warm March in 2024 (“false spring”) followed by freezing temperatures allowed us to assess the impact of a weather event on an amphibian community. The calling activity of all four species was associated with increasing temperature, and the first date of calling was advanced by 11–18 days.
Jeffrey P. Ethier +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Shallow entangled circuits for quantum time series prediction on IBM devices. [PDF]
Laskar MR, Goel R.
europepmc +1 more source

