Enhancing Volatility Prediction: A Wavelet‐Based Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation Approach
ABSTRACT Forecasting realized volatility (RV) has been widely studied, with numerous techniques developed to enhance predictive accuracy. Among these techniques, the use of RV decompositions based on intraday asset returns has been applied. However, the use of a frequency‐based decomposition, which provides unique insights into the dynamics of RV ...
Adam Clements, Ajith Perera
wiley +1 more source
Predicting Traffic Load Data: ARIMA and SARIMA Comparison
The article presents comparison of two statistical methods of data prediction over transport datasets. Autoregressive integrated moving average and its seasonal modification—seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average—are often applied in ...
Todor Peychinov +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Real-time forecasting of COVID-19 spread according to protective behavior and vaccination: autoregressive integrated moving average models. [PDF]
Cheng C +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
Aplikasi Metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
Tulisan Ini Berisi Aplikasi Metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
openaire +1 more source
Coherent Forecasting of Realized Volatility
ABSTRACT The QLIKE loss function is the stylized favorite of the literature on volatility forecasting when it comes to out‐of‐sample evaluation and the state of the art model for realized volatility (RV) forecasting is the HAR model, which minimizes the squared error loss for in‐sample estimation of the parameters.
Marius Puke, Karsten Schweikert
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) time-series model for milk production forecasting in pasture-based dairy cows in the Andean highlands. [PDF]
Perez-Guerra UH +8 more
europepmc +1 more source
The rise in popularity of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin across various platforms has attracted the attention of young investors, making it easier for them to invest. However, due to the volatile nature of Bitcoin, this type of investment carries a high risk.
null Brigita Tiara Elgityana Melantika +3 more
openaire +1 more source
Forecasting COVID-19 new cases in Algeria using Autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average Models (ARFIMA) [PDF]
Belkacem Balah, Messaoud Djeddou
openalex +1 more source
Regional employment forecasts with spatial interdependencies [PDF]
"The labour-market policy-mix in Germany is increasingly being decided on a regional level. This requires additional knowledge about the regional development which (disaggregated) national forecasts cannot provide.
Hampel, Katharina +4 more
core
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source

