Results 31 to 40 of about 45,001 (165)

A Bayesian Method for Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of Photovoltaic Generation in Smart Grid Operation and Control

open access: yesEnergies, 2013
A new short-term probabilistic forecasting method is proposed to predict the probability density function of the hourly active power generated by a photovoltaic system. Firstly, the probability density function of the hourly clearness index is forecasted
Gabriella Ferruzzi   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Bootstrapping periodically autoregressive models [PDF]

open access: yesESAIM: Probability and Statistics, 2017
The main objective of this paper is to establish the residual and the wild bootstrap procedures for periodically autoregressive models. We use the least squares estimators of model’s parameters and generate their bootstrap equivalents. We prove that the bootstrap procedures for causal periodic autoregressive time series with finite fourth moments are ...
Ciołek, Gabriela, Potorski, Paweł
openaire   +2 more sources

Factor Graph-Based Online Bayesian Identification and Component Evaluation for Multivariate Autoregressive Exogenous Input Models

open access: yesEntropy
We present a Forney-style factor graph representation for the class of multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs, and we propose an online Bayesian parameter-identification procedure based on message passing within this graph.
Tim N. Nisslbeck, Wouter M. Kouw
doaj   +1 more source

To center or not to center? Investigating inertia with a multilevel autoregressive model

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2015
Whether level 1 predictors should be centered per cluster has received considerable attention in the multilevel literature. While most agree that there is no one preferred approach, it has also been argued that cluster mean centering is desirable when ...
Ellen L. Hamaker, Raoul P. P. P. Grasman
doaj   +1 more source

Hospital Emergency Room Savings via Health Line S24 in Portugal

open access: yesEconometrics, 2021
Hospital emergency departments are often overused by patients that do not really need urgent care. These admissions are one of the major factors contributing to hospital costs, which should not be allowed to compromise the response and effectiveness of ...
Paula Simões   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Bivariate binomial autoregressive models

open access: yesJournal of Multivariate Analysis, 2014
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Manuel G. Scotto   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Universal-dephasing-noise injection via Schrödinger-wave autoregressive moving-average models

open access: yesPhysical Review Research, 2022
We present and validate a method for noise injection of arbitrary spectra in quantum circuits that can be applied to any system capable of executing arbitrary single qubit rotations, including cloud-based quantum processors.
Andrew Murphy   +12 more
doaj   +1 more source

Frequency-Domain Trajectory Planning for Autonomous Driving in Highly Dynamic Scenarios

open access: yesApplied Sciences
Trajectory planning is a central problem in autonomous driving, requiring long-horizon reasoning, strict safety guarantees, and robustness to rare but critical events.
Jie Xia   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Boundary-Regularized Bayesian Autoregressive Changepoint Detection with Applications to Natural Gas Markets

open access: yesAxioms
Standard Bayesian autoregressive changepoint models can become unstable near sample boundaries. As a candidate changepoint approaches either edge of the series, the local residual degrees of freedom shrink, producing a Gamma-function singularity in the ...
Jibin Yang, Maozai Tian, Fuguo Liu
doaj   +1 more source

The Grid Bootstrap and the Autoregressive Model [PDF]

open access: yesReview of Economics and Statistics, 1999
A “grid” bootstrap method is proposed for confidence-interval construction, which has improved performance over conventional bootstrap methods when the sampling distribution depends upon the parameter of interest. The basic idea is to calculate the bootstrap distribution over a grid of values of the parameter of interest and form the confidence ...
openaire   +2 more sources

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