Results 41 to 50 of about 2,923 (211)

On the volatility of daily stock returns of Total Nigeria Plc: evidence from GARCH models, value-at-risk and backtesting

open access: yesFinancial Innovation, 2020
This study investigates the volatility in daily stock returns for Total Nigeria Plc using nine variants of GARCH models: sGARCH, girGARCH, eGARCH, iGARCH, aGARCH, TGARCH, NGARCH, NAGARCH, and AVGARCH along with value at risk estimation and backtesting ...
Ngozi G. Emenogu   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Backtesting and forecasting of risk measures [PDF]

open access: yes, 2016
Das Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) arbeitet an einer neuen Version der derzeitig gültigen Basel III Verordnung. Zukünftig soll bei der Berechnung des Kapitalerfordernisses für das Marktrisiko der Value at Risk durch ein anderes Risikomaß ...
Bauer, Birgit
core   +1 more source

Estimating Wind‐Power Capacity Time Series From Production Data Using a Power Curve Model and Quadratic Optimization

open access: yesWind Energy, Volume 29, Issue 8, August 2026.
ABSTRACT Accurate, time‐resolved installed capacity data are crucial for forecasting and analysing wind‐power production. The time series of installed capacity is often only approximately known in regions with rapid wind power development. Public wind power databases may only be updated yearly and installation dates may not be differentiated within ...
Olle Viotti, Johan Arnqvist, Jon Olauson
wiley   +1 more source

Estimating Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall: Do Polynomial Expansions Outperform Parametric Densities?

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
We assess Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates assuming different models for the standardized returns: distributions based on polynomial expansions such as Cornish-Fisher and Gram-Charlier, and well-known parametric densities such as
Brenda Castillo-Brais   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Audit‐Ready Machine Learning for Short‐Horizon Equity Prediction: A Dual‐Target Benchmark With Fold‐Isolated Preprocessing

open access: yesEngineering Reports, Volume 8, Issue 6, June 2026.
This study introduces a rigorous, walk‐forward protocol to evaluate next‐day return and volatility‐proxy forecasting across matched model families. By enforcing fold‐isolated preprocessing and causal feature construction on US mega‐caps, the study eLectively mitigates performance inflation.
Abdul Kadar Muhammad Masum   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

How Stock Market Participants Use Generative Artificial Intelligence: Evidence from User‐Platform Interaction Data

open access: yesJournal of Accounting Research, Volume 64, Issue 3, Page 1375-1426, June 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper provides descriptive evidence on how stock market participants use Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) to process investment‐related information. Using a data set of 1.7 million stock‐related queries from one of China's largest GenAI platforms during the first half of 2024, we document that user queries address a wide range ...
FRANK ECKER, XITONG LI, YILAN LI, FAN WU
wiley   +1 more source

Some Results on Foreign Equity Portfolio Risk Backtesting via Lévy Ordinary Copula Model [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Competitiveness, 2012
The soundness of risk monitoring and measuring systems is a key point for the reliability of financial institutions. One of the features of a reliable risk model is that it passes a backtesting procedure – a comparison of the one step ahead risk ...
Kresta Aleš, Tichý Tomáš
doaj  

An Academic Response to Basel 3.5

open access: yesRisks, 2014
Recent crises in the financial industry have shown weaknesses in the modeling of Risk-Weighted Assets (RWAs). Relatively minor model changes may lead to substantial changes in the RWA numbers.
Paul Embrechts   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Assessing the Progress of Stock Rebuilding in the Northeast Atlantic Against Levels That Can Produce Maximum Sustainable Yield

open access: yesFish and Fisheries, Volume 27, Issue 3, Page 519-536, May 2026.
ABSTRACT Rebuilding fish stocks to levels above which they produce Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) is a management aim for all European commercially exploited stocks. Progress is typically monitored against the fishing mortality that produces MSY in the long term (FMSY), however, the corresponding biomass target (BMSY) is rarely evaluated nor reported.
Henning Winker   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Backtesting the predictability of COVID-19

open access: yesCoRR, 2020
The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions amongst the population.
Dmitry Gordeev   +4 more
openaire   +2 more sources

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