Experts use base rates in real-world sequential decisions. [PDF]
Human behavior is often assumed to be irrational, full of errors, and affected by cognitive biases. One of these biases is base-rate neglect, which happens when the base rates of a specific category are not considered when making decisions. We argue here
Link D, Raab M.
europepmc +2 more sources
Contingency inferences driven by base rates: Valid by sampling [PDF]
Fiedler et al. (2009), reviewed evidence for the utilization of a contingency inference strategy termed pseudocontingencies (PCs). In PCs, the more frequent levels (and, by implication, the less frequent levels) are assumed to be associated.
Florian Kutzner +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Patients’ beliefs about the effectiveness of their treatments are key to the success of any intervention. However, since these beliefs are usually formed by sequentially accumulating evidence in the form of the covariation between the treatment use and ...
Fernando Blanco +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Combinatorial measurement of critical cooling rates in aluminum-base metallic glass forming alloys
Direct measurement of critical cooling rates has been challenging and only determined for a minute fraction of the reported metallic glass forming alloys.
Naijia Liu +10 more
doaj +1 more source
Statistical Approach for Computing Base Flow Rates in Gaged Rivers and Hydropower Effect Analysis
The calculation of base flow rates in rivers is complex since hydrogeological and hydrological studies should be performed. The estimation of base flow rates in storm hydrograph associated to various return periods is even more challenging compared to ...
Andrés F. Villalba-Barrios +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Herein, we provide new insights into the intermolecular interactions responsible for the intrinsic stability of the duplex structure of a large portion of human B-DNA by using advanced quantum mechanical methods.
Garcia-Rates M. +3 more
core +1 more source
Considering the base rates of low performance in cognitively healthy older adults improves the accuracy to identify neurocognitive impairment with the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease-Neuropsychological Assessment Battery (CERAD-NAB) [PDF]
It is common for some healthy older adults to obtain low test scores when a battery of neuropsychological tests is administered, which increases the risk of the clinician misdiagnosing cognitive impairment.
Grant L. Iverson +14 more
core +1 more source
Can drug-induced sleep endoscopy improve the success rates of tongue base surgery?
Background The purpose of this study was to determine the therapeutic value of drug-induced sleep endoscopy (DISE) by comparing the outcomes of tongue base surgery based on Muller’s maneuver (MM) and those based on DISE in obstructive sleep apnea (OSA ...
Jong-Gyun Ha +6 more
doaj +1 more source
Direct observation of the temperature-induced melting process of the Salmonella fourU RNA thermometer at base-pair resolution [PDF]
In prokaryotes, RNA thermometers regulate a number of heat shock and virulence genes. These temperature sensitive RNA elements are usually located in the 5'-untranslated regions of the regulated genes.
Narberhaus, Franz +7 more
core +2 more sources
Monetary base and the control of credit in Italy
The most important instrument at the disposal of monetary authorities for the control of credit and the achievement of economic policy objectives consists in the regulation of the quantity of the monetary base.
A. FAZIO
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