Results 11 to 20 of about 7,487,491 (297)
Experts use base rates in real-world sequential decisions. [PDF]
Psychon Bull Rev, 2022 Human behavior is often assumed to be irrational, full of errors, and affected by cognitive biases. One of these biases is base-rate neglect, which happens when the base rates of a specific category are not considered when making decisions. We argue here
Link D, Raab M.
europepmc +2 more sources
Contingency inferences driven by base rates: Valid by sampling [PDF]
Judgment and Decision Making, 2011 Fiedler et al. (2009), reviewed evidence for the utilization of a contingency inference strategy termed pseudocontingencies (PCs). In PCs, the more frequent levels (and, by implication, the less frequent levels) are assumed to be associated.
Florian Kutzner +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
The European Journal of Finance, 2018 This paper explores the extent to which term structure of individual credit default swap (CDS) spreads can be explained by the firm's rating. Using the Nelson–Siegel model, we construct, for each day, CDS curves from a cross-section of CDS spreads for each rating class.
Olga Kolokolova +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
BASE‐RATE NEGLECT AS A FUNCTION OF BASE RATES IN PROBABILISTIC CONTINGENCY LEARNING [PDF]
Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 2008 When humans predict criterion events based on probabilistic predictors, they often lend excessive weight to the predictor and insufficient weight to the base rate of the criterion event. In an operant analysis, using a matching‐to‐sample paradigm, Goodie and Fantino (1996) showed that humans exhibit base‐rate neglect when predictors are associated with
Florian, Kutzner +3 more
openaire +2 more sources
An independence test based on recurrence rates [PDF]
Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2020 A new test of independence between random elements is presented in this article. The test is based on a functional of the Cramér-von Mises type, which is applied to a $U$-process that is defined from the recurrence rates. Theorems of asymptotic distribution under $H_{0},$ and consistency under a wide class of alternatives are obtained.
Juan Kalemkerian, Diego Fernández
openaire +4 more sources
Model-based fMRI reveals dissimilarity processes underlying base rate neglect
eLife, 2018 Extensive evidence suggests that people use base rate information inconsistently in decision making. A classic example is the inverse base rate effect (IBRE), whereby participants classify ambiguous stimuli sharing features of both common and rare ...
Sean R O'Bryan +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Collaborative filtering and rating aggregation based on multicriteria rating [PDF]
2017 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 2017 Ratings by users on various items such as hotels and movies have become easily available on the Web. In many cases, other than overall rating for each item by each user, more detailed information such as ratings from different viewpoints and free text comments, as well as aggregated information such as the average of ratings by different users, are ...
Hiroki Morise +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
, 2021 Herein, we provide new insights into the intermolecular interactions responsible for the intrinsic stability of the duplex structure of a large portion of human B-DNA by using advanced quantum mechanical methods.
Garcia-Rates M. +3 more
core +1 more source
Revista Iberoamericana de Psicología, 2019 False positives and false negatives in neuropsychological assessment can occur due to different reasons and they could have serious consequences such as the administration of an unnecessary treatment that may cause adverse effects and failure to provide ...
Jeniffer Ortega Marin, Dra.
doaj +1 more source
Frontiers in Psychology, 2020 Patients’ beliefs about the effectiveness of their treatments are key to the success of any intervention. However, since these beliefs are usually formed by sequentially accumulating evidence in the form of the covariation between the treatment use and ...
Fernando Blanco +2 more
doaj +1 more source