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Bayesian model selection in ARFIMA models
Expert Systems with Applications, 2010Various model selection criteria such as Akaike information criterion (AIC; Akaike, 1973), Bayesian information criterion (BIC; Akaike, 1979) and Hannan-Quinn criterion (HQC; Hannan, 1980) are used for model specification in autoregressive fractional integrated moving average (ARFIMA) models. Classical model selection criteria require to calculate both
Erol Egrioglu, Süleyman Günay
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Bayesian Model Selection for Heteroskedastic Models
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2008It is well known that volatility asymmetry exists in financial markets. This paper reviews and investigates recently developed techniques for Bayesian estimation and model selection applied to a large group of modern asymmetric heteroskedastic models.
Chen, Cathy W.S. +2 more
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A BAYESIAN MODEL FOR PORTFOLIO SELECTION AND REVISION
The Journal of Finance, 1975IN PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS, the basic setting is that of an individual or a group of individuals making inferences and decisions in the face of uncertainty about future security prices and related variables. Formal models for decision making under uncertainty require inputs such as probability distributions to reflect a decision maker's uncertainty about ...
Winkler, Robert L, Barry, Christopher B
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Bayesian Model Selection and Model Averaging
Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 2000This paper reviews the Bayesian approach to model selection and model averaging. In this review, I emphasize objective Bayesian methods based on noninformative priors. I will also discuss implementation details, approximations, and relationships to other methods. Copyright 2000 Academic Press.
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COSMOLOGICAL BAYESIAN MODEL SELECTION
Statistical Problems in Particle Physics, Astrophysics and Cosmology, 2006Bayesian model comparison can be used to decide whether the introduction of a new parameter is warranted by data. I focus on the Savage-Dickey density ratio as a method to compute the Bayes factor of nested models without carrying out a computationally demanding multi-dimensional integration.
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Bayesian Model Selection with an Uninformative Prior*
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2003AbstractBayesian model selection with posterior probabilities and no subjective prior information is generally not possible because of the Bayes factors being ill‐defined. Using careful consideration of the parameter of interest in cointegration analysis and a re‐specification of the triangular model of Phillips (Econometrica, Vol. 59, pp.
Strachan, Rodney W., van Dijk, Herman K.
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A fuzzy-Bayesian model for supplier selection
Expert Systems with Applications, 2012The selection supplier problem has received a lot of attention from academics in recent years. Several models were developed in the literature, combining consolidated operations research and artificial intelligence methods and techniques. However, the tools presented in the literature neglected learning and adaptation, since this decision making ...
Luciano Ferreira, Denis Borenstein
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Bayesian Model Selection for Pathological Data
2014The detection of abnormal intensities in brain images caused by the presence of pathologies is currently under great scrutiny. Selecting appropriate models for pathological data is of critical importance for an unbiased and biologically plausible model fit, which in itself enables a better understanding of the underlying data and biological processes ...
Carole H. Sudre +5 more
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Bayesian Model Selection for Diagnostics
2015Model-Based Diagnosis MBD addresses the task of isolating the most likely fault given a set of system measurements. The model used for diagnostics is critical to this isolation task, yet little work exists for specifying which type of model is best suited to MBD. We apply Bayesian model selection to identify the model that optimizes a diagnostics task,
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Bayesian selection of models of network formation
2017 IEEE 7th International Workshop on Computational Advances in Multi-Sensor Adaptive Processing (CAMSAP), 2017Models of growing networks have attracted a lot of interest during the past few years. An important question about these models is to decide which model explains an observed network formation most accurately. In this work, we propose a Bayesian model selection scheme which chooses the best model based on predictive distributions.
Lingqing Gan, Petar M. Djuric
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