Results 41 to 50 of about 10,357 (300)

Deep Evidential Learning for Bayesian Quantile Regression

open access: yesCoRR, 2023
It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single forward-pass models do not sample weights during inference and often make assumptions about the target distribution, such ...
Frederik Boe Hüttel   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Who Knows Best What the Next Year Will Hold for You? The Validity of Direct and Personality‐based Predictions of Future Life Experiences Across Different Perceivers

open access: yesEuropean Journal of Personality, EarlyView., 2020
Abstract This study explored the validity of person judgements by targets and their acquaintances (‘informants’) in longitudinally predicting a broad range of psychologically meaningful life experiences. Judgements were gathered from four sources (targets, N = 189; and three types of informants, N = 1352), and their relative predictive validity was ...
Nele M. Wessels   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian analysis for quantile smoothing spline

open access: yesStatistical Theory and Related Fields, 2021
In Bayesian quantile smoothing spline [Thompson, P., Cai, Y., Moyeed, R., Reeve, D., & Stander, J. (2010). Bayesian nonparametric quantile regression using splines.
Zhongheng Cai, Dongchu Sun
doaj   +1 more source

Interpretable Machine Learning Framework for Nb─Si Based Alloy Design with Enhanced Fracture Toughness

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
An interpretable machine learning framework integrating SHAP and PDP analysis identifies critical design descriptors from 139 physicochemical features for Nb─Si alloys. The framework achieves <7% prediction error and guides the discovery of Nb38.5Ti38.5Si3Zr18V2 alloy with 22.791 MPa·m1/2 fracture toughness, breaking the 20 MPa·m1/2 barrier.
Dezhi Chen   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

ANALISIS PERTAMBAHAN TINGGI BADAN BALITA STUNTING DI PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT MENGGUNAKAN METODE REGRESI KUANTIL BINER BAYESIAN

open access: yesJurnal Lebesgue
Stunting is one of the national health problems in Indonesia, where children experience growth failure. This study aims to construct a model for the classification of height gain of stunting toddlers in West Sumatra Province using the Bayesian binary ...
Cintya Mukti   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Topological Properties of International Commodity Market: How Uncertainty Affects the Linkages?

open access: yesAgribusiness, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The study aims to explore the network topology of the international commodity market by examining the interconnections among 21 commodity futures across various categories, including energy, precious and industrial metals, and agriculture. We analyze the market structure of these commodity futures under both low and high uncertainty conditions
Ibrahim Yagli, Bayram Deviren
wiley   +1 more source

Risk measurement of oil price based on Bayesian nonlinear quantile regression model

open access: yesAlexandria Engineering Journal, 2021
Oil price forecasting is one of the most challenging issues since it is noisy, non-stationary, and chaotic. In this paper, we design a Bayesian Nonlinear Quantile method consisting of a Threshold Improved model and an Adaptive MCMC model to improve ...
Jian Zhu   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Fine Particulate Matter Constituents, Ozone, and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Large General‐Population Cohort Analysis With Extended Quantile g‐Computation

open access: yesArthritis &Rheumatology, EarlyView.
Objective The aim of this study was to investigate whether exposure to mixture of individual fine particulate matter (PM2.5) chemical constituents is associated with incident systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and if ozone modifies this association and/or is associated with SLE onset.
Naizhuo Zhao   +9 more
wiley   +1 more source

Friction Characteristics of Post-Tensioned Tendons of Full-Scale Structures Based on Site Tests

open access: yesAdvances in Civil Engineering, 2020
In the design of prestressing concrete structures, the friction characteristics between strands and channels have an important influence on the distribution of prestressing force, which can be considered comprehensively by curvature and swing friction ...
Haoyun Yuan   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Modular Mechanistic In Silico Model for In Vitro Transcription Process Yield and Product Quality Prediction

open access: yesBiotechnology and Bioengineering, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In vitro transcription (IVT) plays a critical role in the manufacture of mRNA vaccines and therapeutics. Optimizing mRNA yield and ensuring product quality, such as capping efficiency and integrity, are essential but mechanistically complex. This study presents a modular mechanistic model of the IVT process to advance scientific understanding ...
Keqi Wang   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

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