Results 21 to 30 of about 2,670 (210)

Evaluating and Improving the Models' Prediction Skills for the Relationship Between the Summer NWPSH in Different Months

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, 2023
Compared to interannual and interdecadal variations, inadequate attention has been given to intraseasonal changes in the summer northwest Pacific subtropical high (NWPSH).
Shuai Li   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
The global monsoon system is so varied and complex that understanding and predicting its diverse behaviour remains a challenge that will occupy modellers for many years to come.
Giannini, Alessandra   +6 more
core   +1 more source

Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in a superparameterized general circulation model: effects of air–sea coupling and ocean mean state [PDF]

open access: yesGeoscientific Model Development, 2020
The effect of air–sea coupling on simulated boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is examined using atmosphere–ocean-mixed-layer coupled (SPCAM3-KPP, referred to as SPK throughout) and uncoupled configurations of the superparameterized (SP ...
Y. Gao   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Predictability and prediction skill of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in the Intraseasonal Variability Hindcast Experiment [PDF]

open access: yesClimate Dynamics, 2015
Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is one of the dominant modes of intraseasonal variability of the tropical climate system, which has fundamental impacts on regional summer monsoons, tropical storms, and extra-tropical climate variations. Due to its distinctive characteristics, a specific metric for characterizing observed BSISO evolution
Lee, Sun-Seon   +4 more
openaire   +1 more source

Improving Real-Time Forecast of Intraseasonal Variabilities of Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation in an Empirical Scheme

open access: yesFrontiers in Earth Science, 2020
In contrast to the historical forecast test which is temporally successive with a near-steady forecast skill, the real-time forecast made at any one moment produces a forecast time-series whose skill rapidly decreases as the forecast lead time increases;
Tianyi Wang   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the BSISO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget [PDF]

open access: yes, 2019
The oceanic feedback to the atmospheric boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is examined by diagnosing the sea surface temperature (SST) modification of surface fluxes and the moist static energy (MSE) on intraseasonal scales. SST variability
DeMott, Charlotte A.   +4 more
core   +1 more source

The Effect of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation on Evaporation Duct and Electromagnetic Propagation over the South China Sea

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2020
Intraseasonal oscillation of the evaporation duct, lasting 30–60 days, has been identified over the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon region based on multiple reanalyses and observational data.
Wentao Jia   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Probabilistic subseasonal precipitation forecasts using preceding atmospheric intraseasonal signals in a Bayesian perspective [PDF]

open access: yesHydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2022
Accurate and reliable subseasonal precipitation forecasts are of great socioeconomic value for various aspects. The atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation (ISO), which is one of the leading sources of subseasonal predictability, can potentially be used as
Y. Li, Z. Wu, H. He, H. Yin
doaj   +1 more source

Dynamical ocean forcing of the Madden-Julian Oscillation at lead times of up to five months [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
We show that a simple three-dimensional ocean model linearised about a resting basic state can accurately simulate the dynamical ocean response to wind forcing by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO).
Heywood, KJ   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Subseasonal variability associated with Asian summer monsoon simulated by 14 IPCC AR4 coupled GCMs [PDF]

open access: yes, 2008
This study evaluates the subseasonal variability associated with the Asian summer monsoon in 14 coupled general circulation models (GCMs) participating in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Eight years of
Blade   +80 more
core   +1 more source

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