Compared to interannual and interdecadal variations, inadequate attention has been given to intraseasonal changes in the summer northwest Pacific subtropical high (NWPSH).
Shuai Li +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour [PDF]
The global monsoon system is so varied and complex that understanding and predicting its diverse behaviour remains a challenge that will occupy modellers for many years to come.
Giannini, Alessandra +6 more
core +1 more source
Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in a superparameterized general circulation model: effects of air–sea coupling and ocean mean state [PDF]
The effect of air–sea coupling on simulated boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is examined using atmosphere–ocean-mixed-layer coupled (SPCAM3-KPP, referred to as SPK throughout) and uncoupled configurations of the superparameterized (SP ...
Y. Gao +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Predictability and prediction skill of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in the Intraseasonal Variability Hindcast Experiment [PDF]
Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is one of the dominant modes of intraseasonal variability of the tropical climate system, which has fundamental impacts on regional summer monsoons, tropical storms, and extra-tropical climate variations. Due to its distinctive characteristics, a specific metric for characterizing observed BSISO evolution
Lee, Sun-Seon +4 more
openaire +1 more source
In contrast to the historical forecast test which is temporally successive with a near-steady forecast skill, the real-time forecast made at any one moment produces a forecast time-series whose skill rapidly decreases as the forecast lead time increases;
Tianyi Wang +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the BSISO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget [PDF]
The oceanic feedback to the atmospheric boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is examined by diagnosing the sea surface temperature (SST) modification of surface fluxes and the moist static energy (MSE) on intraseasonal scales. SST variability
DeMott, Charlotte A. +4 more
core +1 more source
Intraseasonal oscillation of the evaporation duct, lasting 30–60 days, has been identified over the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon region based on multiple reanalyses and observational data.
Wentao Jia +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Probabilistic subseasonal precipitation forecasts using preceding atmospheric intraseasonal signals in a Bayesian perspective [PDF]
Accurate and reliable subseasonal precipitation forecasts are of great socioeconomic value for various aspects. The atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation (ISO), which is one of the leading sources of subseasonal predictability, can potentially be used as
Y. Li, Z. Wu, H. He, H. Yin
doaj +1 more source
Dynamical ocean forcing of the Madden-Julian Oscillation at lead times of up to five months [PDF]
We show that a simple three-dimensional ocean model linearised about a resting basic state can accurately simulate the dynamical ocean response to wind forcing by the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO).
Heywood, KJ +3 more
core +1 more source
Subseasonal variability associated with Asian summer monsoon simulated by 14 IPCC AR4 coupled GCMs [PDF]
This study evaluates the subseasonal variability associated with the Asian summer monsoon in 14 coupled general circulation models (GCMs) participating in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Eight years of
Blade +80 more
core +1 more source

