Results 61 to 70 of about 2,590 (160)

An opportunity index to anticipate when subseasonal predictions are useful

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Simultaneously active subseasonal windows of forecast opportunity can be combined into a single opportunity index, which can be used operationally to anticipate enhanced or reduced subseasonal prediction skill. For predictions of temperature anomalies in Switzerland during summer—a region and season with particularly low predictability—skill can nearly
Dominik Büeler   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Deep Learning Improves Prediction of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Using Predictive Source Analysis

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters
The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) is a prominent tropical intraseasonal variability during summer. It propagates northeastward from the northern Indian Ocean to the western North Pacific and has a more complex structure than the winter ...
Yuki Maeda, Masaki Satoh
doaj   +1 more source

Intraseasonal Variability of the East Asia-Pacific Teleconnection and Its Impacts on Multiple Tropical Cyclone Genesis Over the Western North Pacific

open access: yesFrontiers in Earth Science, 2021
A daily East Asia–Pacific teleconnection (EAP) index was constructed to investigate the impact of the intraseasonal variability (ISV) of this index on the genesis of multiple tropical cyclones (MTC) in boreal summer over the western North Pacific (WNP ...
Xin Lin   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

The surface diurnal warm layer in the Indian Ocean during CINDY/DYNAMO [PDF]

open access: yes, 2014
A surface diurnal warm layer is diagnosed from Seaglider observations, and develops on half the days in the CINDY/DYNAMO Indian Ocean experiment. The diurnal warm layer occurs on days of high solar radiation flux (>80 W m-2) and low wind speed (
Baranowski, Dariusz   +4 more
core   +1 more source

Estimate of the Predictability of Boreal Summer and Winter Intraseasonal Oscillations from Observations

open access: yesMonthly Weather Review, 2011
AbstractTropical intraseasonal variability (TISV) shows two dominant modes: the boreal winter Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO). The two modes differ in intensity, frequency, and movement, thereby presumably indicating different predictabilities.
Ruiqiang Ding   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Vertical Vorticity Structure Associated with the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation: Barotropic or Baroclinic? [PDF]

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2012
This study investigates the reason why the barotropic vorticity structure prevails vertically in response to the enhanced convection associated with the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation over the central Indian Ocean. The relative vorticity tendency analysis for a 2.5-layer simplified model demonstrates that the barotopic vorticity structure is ...
Eun-Ji Song, Kyong-Hwan Seo
openaire   +1 more source

Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

The intraseasonal oscillation of pCO2 over the southeast coast of Vietnam in boreal summer

open access: yesEnvironmental Research Communications
The intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) of the oceanic surface partial pressure of carbon dioxide ( p CO _2 ) is one of the primary subsequent effects of the monsoon-driven upwelling along the southeast coast of Vietnam (SCV) in boreal summer.
Miaoyin Zhang, Xueming Zhu, Xuanliang Ji
doaj   +1 more source

The global monsoon system: research and forecast [PDF]

open access: yes, 2004
The main objective of this workshop was to provide a forum for discussion between researchers and forecasters on the current status of monsoon forecasting and on priorities and opportunities for monsoon research.
Chang, C. P.   +5 more
core   +1 more source

A retrospective on the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season

open access: yesWeather, EarlyView.
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season was intermittent, with extended quiet periods separated by three clusters of activity. The broad‐scale conditions were often unfavourable for cyclogenesis and common drivers of activity such as La Niña were weak, but well above‐average sea temperatures still supported intense storms.
Charles W. Powell
wiley   +1 more source

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