Results 51 to 60 of about 351 (124)

Limited Influence of Pre‐Existing Tropical Cyclones on Subsequent Cyclogenesis in the Western North Pacific

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 131, Issue 2, 28 January 2026.
Abstract Previous studies suggest that a tropical cyclone (TC) may contribute to the genesis of another TC to its east or southeast in the western North Pacific (WNP) through Rossby wave dispersion. However, the influence of a pre‐existing TC (PTC) has not been fully clarified in realistic simulations.
Kosuke Ito, Kenji Yamauchi
wiley   +1 more source

Modal Interference Drives Madden‐Julian Oscillation Evolution and Predictability

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 1, 16 January 2026.
Abstract A data‐driven dynamical filter is developed to characterize Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) variability, by representing tropical variability with nonorthogonal empirical‐dynamical modes that allow for constructive and destructive interference.
David H. Marsico   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Influence of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation on Rainfall Extremes in the Philippines [PDF]

open access: yes, 2021
This study investigates the impact of the northward/northwestward propagating 30–60-day mode of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) on the extreme rainfall events in the Philippines during the June–September (JJAS) season from 1979 to ...
Manalo, John A   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Joint modulation of coastal rainfall in Northeast Australia by local and large‐scale forcings

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Volume 152, Issue 774, January 2026 Part A.
Spatially heterogeneous rainfall patterns over the coastal regions of northern Queensland are consistent between radar observations and model simulations. Rainfall propagation modulates the average rainfall distribution, leading to inhomogeneous rainfall patterns along the coast.
T. L. Dao   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Development of Indian summer monsoon precipitation biases in two seasonal forecasting systems and their response to large-scale drivers [PDF]

open access: yesWeather and Climate Dynamics
The Met Office Global Coupled Model (GC) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) are both widely used for predicting and simulating the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), and previous studies have ...
R. J. Keane   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Variability in Updraft Mass Flux Across the Top of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer Over the Tropical Western North Pacific Associated With a Tropical Depression

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 130, Issue 23, 16 December 2025.
Abstract Over tropical oceans, cumulus convection is triggered by updrafts from the atmospheric boundary layer (BL). Given mutual interactions between cumulus convective ensembles and synoptic‐ to global‐scale atmospheric phenomena, it seems important to quantitatively evaluate the updraft on spatiotemporal scales relevant to the interactions and ...
S. Yokoi   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Objective Classification of Asymmetric Modes of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation over the Western North Pacific and Their Divergent Impacts on Eastern China Precipitation

open access: yesAtmosphere
The boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) over the western North Pacific (WNP) exhibits significant phase asymmetry, but a systematic classification of its asymmetric modes and their regional climatic impacts remains insufficiently explored ...
Shan Zhu   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Development of the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Over the Western North Pacific Associated With Self‐Induced Fresh and Shallow Mixed Layers in 2024

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Volume 130, Issue 12, December 2025.
Abstract Air‐sea interaction plays an important role in the development of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO). To elucidate this air‐sea interaction, a field observation using the research vessel (R/V) MIRAI was conducted in the tropical western North Pacific for 1 month in early summer 2024.
Ayako Seiki   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Dominant patterns of boreal summer interactions between tropics and mid-latitude: causal relationships and the role of timescales [PDF]

open access: yes, 2020
Tropical convective activity represents a source of predictability for mid-latitude weather in the Northern Hemisphere. In winter, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant source of predictability in the tropics and extra-tropics, but its ...
Coumou, D.   +7 more
core   +3 more sources

Mechanisms and Subseasonal Predictability of Unprecedented Multiple Tropical Cyclone Event in Autumn 2024

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 52, Issue 13, 16 July 2025.
Abstract In autumn 2024 (late October to mid‐November), an unprecedented multiple tropical cyclone (MTC) event occurred over the western North Pacific (WNP). Six storms formed within a month, surpassing the climatological mean by 4 standard deviations. Four storms were simultaneously active—an event unmatched in 45 years.
Yitian Qian   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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