Results 11 to 20 of about 3,117,785 (309)

Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-Point Models with an Unknown Number of Change Points [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2004
This paper develops a new approach to change-point modeling that allows for an unknown number of change points in the observed sample. Our model assumes that regime durations have a Poisson distribution. The model approximately nests the two most common approaches: the time-varying parameter model with a change point every period and the change-point ...
Koop, Gary, Potter, Simon M.
openaire   +8 more sources

bcp: An R Package for Performing a Bayesian Analysis of Change Point Problems

open access: yesJournal of Statistical Software, 2007
Barry and Hartigan (1993) propose a Bayesian analysis for change point problems. We provide a brief summary of selected work on change point problems, both preceding and following Barry and Hartigan.
Chandra Erdman, John W. Emerson
doaj   +1 more source

Change-Point Methods on a Sequence of Graphs [PDF]

open access: yesIEEE Transactions on Signal Processing, 2019
Given a finite sequence of graphs, e.g., coming from technological, biological, and social networks, the paper proposes a methodology to identify possible changes in stationarity in the stochastic process generating the graphs. In order to cover a large class of applications, we consider the general family of attributed graphs where both topology ...
Daniele Zambon   +2 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Assessing seasonal variation and trends in rainfall patterns of Madhya Pradesh, Central India

open access: yesJournal of Water and Climate Change, 2023
Climate change is a worldwide problem caused by various anthropogenic activities, leading to changes in hydroclimatic variables like temperature, rainfall, riverine flow, and extreme hydrometeorological events.
Amit Kumar   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Algebraic change-point detection [PDF]

open access: yesApplicable Algebra in Engineering, Communication and Computing, 2010
Elementary techniques from operational calculus, differential algebra, and noncommutative algebra lead to a new approach for change-point detection, which is an important field of investigation in various areas of applied sciences and engineering. Several successful numerical experiments are presented.
Fliess, Michel   +2 more
openaire   +6 more sources

Multiscale Change Point Inference [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 2014
SummaryWe introduce a new estimator, the simultaneous multiscale change point estimator SMUCE, for the change point problem in exponential family regression. An unknown step function is estimated by minimizing the number of change points over the acceptance region of a multiscale test at a level α.
Frick, K., Munk, A., Sieling, H.
openaire   +3 more sources

Dynamical model for social distancing in the U.S. during the COVID-19 epidemic

open access: yesComputational and Mathematical Biophysics, 2020
Background Social distancing has led to a “flattening of the curve” in many states across the U.S. This is part of a novel, massive, global social experiment which has served to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic in the absence of a vaccine or effective anti-
Chitanvis Shirish M.
doaj   +1 more source

Integrating broad‐scale data to assess demographic and climatic contributions to population change in a declining songbird

open access: yesEcology and Evolution, 2020
Climate variation and trends affect species distribution and abundance across large spatial extents. However, most studies that predict species response to climate are implemented at small spatial scales or are based on occurrence‐environment ...
James F. Saracco, Madeleine Rubenstein
doaj   +1 more source

Optimal change point detection and localization in sparse dynamic networks [PDF]

open access: yes, 2021
We study the problem of change point localization in dynamic networks models. We assume that we observe a sequence of independent adjacency matrices of the same size, each corresponding to a realization of an unknown inhomogeneous Bernoulli model.
Wang, Daren, Yu, Yi, Rinaldo, Alessandro
core   +1 more source

Changes in Flood Regime of the Upper Yangtze River

open access: yesFrontiers in Earth Science, 2021
River flooding affects more people worldwide than other natural hazards. Thus, analysis of the changes in flood regime caused by global warming and increasing anthropogenic activities will help us make adaptive plans for future flood management.
Yu Zhang   +10 more
doaj   +1 more source

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