Results 201 to 210 of about 30,046 (283)

The relationship between seasonal mean temperature and most extreme day

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In Northern Hemisphere winter, there is a strong correlation between seasonal mean temperature and coldest daily mean temperature which varies in magnitude from one region to another (with a weaker relationship in summer between mean and hottest day).
Anna Maidens   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

COBASE: A new copula‐based shuffling method for ensemble weather forecast postprocessing

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We propose COBASE, a novel copula‐based postprocessing methododology that combines the strengths of multivariate parametric correction with non‐parametric rank‐based approaches. We consider two case studies for multi‐site temperature in Austria and multi‐site temperature and dew‐point temperature in the Netherlands.
Maurits Flos   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

A new smoother method for treating different timescales in variational data assimilation for coupled systems

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We propose a new method for treating different timescales in coupled variational data assimilation for atmosphere–ocean models. The approach involves a series of short‐window coupled assimilations (red arrows in the schematic) followed by a long‐window correction to the ocean fields (blue arrow).
Amos S. Lawless   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hybrid physics–data‐driven modeling for sea ice thermodynamics and transfer learning

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Icepack–NN, a machine‐learning‐based hybrid version of the sea‐ice column model Icepack, is developed to correct state‐dependent forecast errors arising from misspecified snow thermodynamics, using neural networks applied online within the physical model.
G. De Cillis   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Statistical post‐processing of operational dual‐resolution wind‐speed ensemble forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The performance of raw and post‐processed 50‐member medium‐ and 100‐member extended‐range 10‐m wind‐speed forecasts of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts and their various dual‐resolution combinations is investigated. Results show that post‐processing improves skill and reduces the differences between the various configurations ...
Sándor Baran, Mária Lakatos
wiley   +1 more source

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