Results 221 to 230 of about 220,091 (301)

Assimilation of solar‐induced fluorescence satellite observations in the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts integrated forecast system

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This work demonstrates the potential of the assimilation of satellite solar‐induced fluorescence (SIF) retrievals at eight‐day and 0.1° resolutions in the integrated forecast system (IFS), developed at the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), at global scale, to provide a more realistic representation of the vegetation temporal ...
Sébastien Garrigues   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Using a causal effect network approach to quantify the impact of ENSO teleconnections on summer monsoon precipitation over the Himalayas and key regional circulations

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We quantified the causal effect (CE) of linkages between four monthly climate indices ENSO, SMHP, RWC, and MHC for 1940–2022 with a time lag of one month. The results show CE values from (1) ENSO to SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$ -0.44 $$ (i.e., a one standard deviation (SD) increase in ENSO causes a decrease in SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$
Grzegorz Muszynski   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Physics of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Rao VB   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Exceptionally poor and good medium‐range forecasts of the large‐scale circulation over Europe in ERA5 reforecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

A composite‐loss graph neural network for the multivariate post‐processing of ensemble weather forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The dual graph neural network (dualGNN), trained with a composite loss combining the energy score (ES) and variogram score (VS), consistently outperformed models optimized solely for ES or the continuous ranked probability score in the multivariate setting, as well as empirical copula approaches.
Mária Lakatos
wiley   +1 more source

The disappearing quasi-biennial oscillation under sustained global warming. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Luo F   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Comparison of two numerical weather prediction models in simulating south foehn in the Alpine Rhine Valley

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
ICON outperforms COSMO in simulating a south foehn event in the Alpine Rhine Valley, with improved accuracy in temperature, wind speed, and foehn timing. This enhanced performance likely results from a more accurate representation of surface energy balance and gravity wave pattern on the lee side of the mountain.
Yue Tian   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Increased interannual variability of Sahel rainfall under greenhouse warming. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Yang K   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Covariance of the intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet in Sahelian wet and dry years

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet (AEJ) positions are strongly correlated, with a more pronounced linear relationship across wet years. Surface heat flux anomalies modify low‐level temperature and sensible heat flux gradients that shift the AEJ core south of the gradient maxima in both composites.
Marian Amoakowaah Osei   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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