Results 251 to 260 of about 279,067 (415)

Kriging‐variance‐based multi‐member ensembles of radar–rain‐gauge precipitation estimates: Application in Switzerland

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We explore the variance of the radar–rain‐gauge combination kriging‐based system “CombiPrecip”, showing that it represents satisfactorily the radar–rain‐gauge precipitation uncertainty around the kriging expected value. We then present a method to generate ensembles out of it, which we find to be very similar in texture with the expected‐value image ...
I. V. Sideris   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Unbiased calculation, evaluation, and calibration of ensemble forecast anomalies

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Standard methods for calculating ensemble forecast anomalies result in statistical inconsistencies between forecast and verification anomalies, even if the underlying forecasts are perfectly reliable. An unbiased evaluation of anomaly‐based ensemble forecasts must account for differences in climatological sampling uncertainty between forecasts and ...
Christopher D. Roberts   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Towards developing an operational Indian ocean dipole warning system for Southeast Asia. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Jain S   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Modulations of local rainfall in northeast Australia associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation during austral summer

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The variation of rainfall and its diurnal cycle with the Madden–Julian oscillation over coastal regions of NE Australia exhibit both large‐scale and local‐scale influences. The widespread increased rainfall is driven by large‐scale forcings, while the local enhanced rainfall is likely affected by mesoscale coastal processes. The variation of convective
Thi Lan Dao   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Seasonal forecasting of East African short rains. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Tefera AK   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

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