Results 51 to 60 of about 6,692 (259)

Tracking Summer Greenland Blocking: The Upstream Pathway Shapes Historical Extremes and Future Change

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study investigates summer Greenland atmospheric blocking using the Lagrangian tracking Python package blocktrack applied to ERA5 reanalysis and CMIP6 models. Two types of blocks—upstream (Northern Canada origin) and retrograding (Northern Atlantic origin)—are distinguished, with upstream blocks driving recent observed frequency increasing trends ...
Michele Filippucci, Jacob Maddison, Simona Bordoni   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Surface and Tropospheric Climatic Trends in the Galápagos Archipelago Based on the Galápagos Archipelago Refined Analysis Dataset

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The Galápagos Archipelago's near‐surface climate is primarily influenced by interannual El Niño‐Southern Oscillation variability, with no statistical evidence for long‐term trends in air temperature, humidity, or precipitation. While tropospheric warming and increased atmospheric stability are observed, these trends are largely decoupled from near ...
Benjamin Schmidt, Marco Otto, Frederik Bart, Nazli Turini, Byron Delgado Maldonado, Jörg Bendix, Dieter Scherer   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysis of the Characteristics of Non-stationary Spatio-temporal Variations of Future Temperature in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau Based on EOF-EEMD Combination

Gaoyuan qixiang
Using effective bias correction methods and transforming non-stationary data to stationary can enhance the scientific accuracy of temperature analysis， allowing for a deeper understanding of its temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and ...
Xue ZHANG, Xiaohua DONG, Yaoming MA, Chengqi GONG, Xueer HU, Ling CHEN, Zhongbo SU   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Representation of Long‐Term Observed UK Winter Precipitation Trends and Variability in UKCP18 Global Climate Models

International Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Evaluating historical precipitation trends is complicated by interactions between variability in atmospheric circulation and thermodynamic forcing. This study assesses 1901–2023 UK winter precipitation trends in UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) global climate models using dynamical adjustment to separate circulation‐driven and non‐dynamical ...
James G. Carruthers, Hayley J. Fowler, Daniel Bannister, Selma B. Guerreiro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Selecting CMIP6 Models for Future Arctic Storylines Using a Novel Performance Score

Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Storylines are physically plausible scenarios of future climate change, statistically derived from an ensemble of climate model projections and organized according to the magnitude of projected changes in two or more remote drivers that strongly ...
Lise Seland Graff, Oskar A. Landgren, Kajsa M. Parding, Xavier Levine, Ryan S. Williams, Priscilla A. Mooney   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Unfolding Desert: Observed Structural Drying and Projected Aridity Risks in a Brazilian Family Farming Citizenship Territory

Land Degradation &Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Aridification in Semiarid regions is a recurring theme in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports and has been documented in Northeastern Brazil. This study analyzes the spatiotemporal dynamics of aridification in the Lower São Francisco River “Citizenship Territory” (Sergipe and Alagoas) at a fine spatial resolution (~1 km ...
Carlos Eduardo Pacheco Lima, Júlio Roberto Araújo de Amorim, Marcus Aurélio Soares Cruz, Mariana Rodrigues Fontenelle   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

From Past to Future: Overall Patterns, Nonlinear Relationships, Spatial Heterogeneity and Drivers of Ecosystem Service Trade‐Offs and Synergies in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

Land Degradation &Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Land‐use change and climate change are reshaping watershed ecological functions and may intensify the risk of localized ecological degradation. However, existing studies have primarily focused on the spatiotemporal patterns of ecosystem services (ESs) during historical periods, while the nonlinear changes, spatial heterogeneity, and driving ...
Jingyuan Chen, Bowen Dong, Pengfei Qin, Xuan Lin, Chen Tang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evolution of rain-flood characteristics and projection of future flood risk in Chongqing City

Shui kexue jinzhan
Urban flooding，exacerbated by the dual impacts of global climate change and rapid urbanization，poses a significant threat to the sustainable development of cities.
Junliang JIN, Wenxin LI, Zhangkang SHU, Jianyun ZHANG, Wentao XU, Cuishan LIU   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Future Soil Erosion Under Combined CMIP6 Climate Projections and Land Use/Land Cover Change: A RUSLE‐Based Assessment of the Kampe Omi Dam Basin in Nigeria

Land Degradation &Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Soil erosion remains a major environmental challenge in Nigeria, driven by the combined effects of climate variability and land use/land cover (LULC) changes. Understanding future dynamics is essential for effective soil conservation planning.
Titus Adeyemi Alonge, Amos T. Kabo‐Bah, Lily Lisa Yevugah, Abdul‐Karim Iddrisu   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Revealing Dust Source Changes in East Asia From Past to Future: An Interpretable Deep Learning Approach

Land Degradation &Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Aeolian dust source areas are controlled by climate and human activities and are closely associated with land degradation, yet their long‐term evolution under global warming remains insufficiently quantified. An integrated framework that couples a U‐Net segmentation model with Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) was built to map and attribute
Yanyu Li, Qizhong Wu, Xueshun Chen, Jiang Yue, Jieying He, Huaqiong Cheng   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source