Results 41 to 50 of about 2,786 (129)
On coherent immediate prediction: connecting two theories of imprecise probability [PDF]
We give an overview of two approaches to probabiliity theory where lower and upper probabilities, rather than probabilities, are used: Walley's behavioural theory of imprecise probabilities, and Shafer and Vovk's game-theoretic account of probability. We
De Cooman, Gert, Hermans, Filip
core
Lexicographic choice functions [PDF]
We investigate a generalisation of the coherent choice functions considered by Seidenfeld et al. (2010), by sticking to the convexity axiom but imposing no Archimedeanity condition. We define our choice functions on vector spaces of options, which allows
de Cooman, Gert +2 more
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Abstract Non‐binary and genderqueer identities are increasingly discussed in public discourse and academia, but there remains a dearth of academic literature centred on non‐binary people's lives and experiences. When non‐binary people are included in research, it is frequently as an additive to explorations of trans identities and subsumed under the ...
Lucy Nicholas, Sal Clark, Chloe Falzon
wiley +1 more source
Epistemic irrelevance in credal networks : the case of imprecise Markov trees [PDF]
We replace strong independence in credal networks with the weaker notion of epistemic irrelevance. Focusing on directed trees, we show how to combine local credal sets into a global model, and we use this to construct and justify an exact message-passing
Antonucci, Alessandro +3 more
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Summary In this article we present the Dutch eco‐scheme as an example of a results‐based scheme which fits well into the ‘new delivery model’ of the CAP 2023–2027. Implemented in 2023, the scheme offers farmers a menu of 22 eco‐activities, from which they can choose every year.
Roel Jongeneel +2 more
wiley +1 more source
By representing the range of fair betting odds according to a pair of confidence set estimators, dual probability measures on parameter space called frequentist posteriors secure the coherence of subjective inference without any prior distribution.
Datta G. S. +16 more
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This study provides a statistical tool for the reconstruction of annual rainfall anomalies based on atmospheric circulation patterns in the data‐scarce region of West Africa. ABSTRACT The West African Monsoon, known for its significant rainfall variability, led to the Sahel drought from 1968 to the 1990s, followed by a recovery in rainfall since the ...
Manuel Rauch +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Abstract This article examines the relationship between national politics, sovereign default, credit rationing, and their effects on fiscal revenues and exports in nineteenth‐century Colombia. Using quantitative and qualitative analysis, it challenges existing narratives on Colombia's lack of sustained nineteenth‐century export‐led development, showing
Andrew Primmer
wiley +1 more source
Lower and upper covariance [PDF]
We give a definition for lower and upper covariance in Walley's theory of imprecise probabilities (or coherent lower previsions) that is direct, i.e., does not refer to credal sets. It generalizes Walley's definition for lower and upper variance.
Quaeghebeur, Erik
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Public Administration Country Study: Kazakhstan—Post‐Soviet Legacy, Modernisation, and Hybridity
ABSTRACT Kazakhstan is a post‐Soviet upper middle‐income country which claims to be a leader in regional governance in Central Asia. A key component of its development strategy since independence in 1991 has been public administration reform. This paper examines the post‐Soviet public administration legacy, its features, and how Kazakhstan has ...
Colin Knox, Serik Orazgaliyev
wiley +1 more source

