Results 121 to 130 of about 106,356 (205)
Taylor Rule Deviations Across Horizons: A Practical Tool for Monetary Policy
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We propose “Taylor rule yields” across horizons for the United States. Applying the standard Taylor rule to expected paths of inflation and the output gap, we construct a sequence of short‐term rates under neutral monetary policy stances, whose average defines the Taylor rule yield at each horizon.
MASAZUMI HATTORI +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Bayesian Inference in the Time Varying Cointegration Model [PDF]
There are both theoretical and empirical reasons for believing that the parameters of macroeconomic models may vary over time. However, work with time-varying parameter models has largely involved Vector autoregressions (VARs), ignoring cointegration ...
Gary Koop +2 more
core +3 more sources
Cointegration and conditional correlations among German and Eastern Europe equity markets [PDF]
This paper aims to examine the long term relationship between German and three Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) equity markets. Application of Johansen as well as Engle-Granger cointegration tests show that there is no long-term relationship among these ...
Guidi, Francesco, Gupta, Rakesh
core +1 more source
Macroprudential Policy in the Euro Area
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract This paper examines the development and impact of macroprudential policies in the euro area. We construct a novel index that captures the stance of macroprudential policy, and we highlight its main stylized facts since the inception of the euro in 1999. We combine a narrative approach and a structural VAR method to show that both unanticipated
ÁLVARO FERNÁNDEZ‐GALLARDO +1 more
wiley +1 more source
The Relationship between Terms-of-Trade and Trade Balance in Asean-5
International Journal of Management Studies, 2008 This study investigated the relationship between terms-of-trade and trade balance in the ASEAN-5, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, using time series data.
Wong Hock Tsen
doaj
Econometrics at the Extreme: From Quantile Regression to QFAVAR1
Journal of Economic Surveys, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper surveys quantile modelling from its theoretical origins to current advances. We organize the literature and present core econometric formulations and estimation methods for: (i) cross‐sectional quantile regression; (ii) quantile time series models and their time series properties; (iii) quantile vector autoregressions for ...
Stéphane Goutte +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Cointegration versus Spurious Regression in Heterogeneous Panels [PDF]
We consider the issue of cross sectional aggregation in nonstationary, heterogeneous panels where each unit cointegrates. We first derive the asymptotic properties of the aggregate estimate, and a necessary and sufficient condition for cointegration to ...
Giovanni Urga, Lorenzo Trapani
core
Nonparametric Detection of a Time‐Varying Mean
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We propose a nonparametric portmanteau test for detecting changes in the unconditional mean of a univariate time series which may display either long or short memory. Our approach is designed to have power against, among other things, cases where the mean component of the series displays abrupt level shifts, deterministic trending behaviour ...
Fabrizio Iacone, A. M. Robert Taylor
wiley +1 more source
Budgetary and external imbalances relationship: a panel data diagnostic [PDF]
We assess the cointegration relationship between current account and budget balances, and effective real exchange rates, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods.
Afonso, António, Rault, Christophe
core
Fully Modified GLS Estimation for Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT A new feasible generalized least squares estimator is proposed. Our estimator incorporates (1) the inverse autocovariance matrix of multidimensional errors, and (2) second‐order bias corrections. The resulting estimator has the intuitive interpretation of applying a weighted least squares objective function to filtered data series.
Yicong Lin, Hanno Reuvers
wiley +1 more source