ABSTRACT Quantile regression provides a powerful tool for investigating the effects of covariates on key quantiles of a conditional distribution. However, we often lack a general picture of how covariates affect the overall shape of the conditional distribution.
Qiang Chen, Zhijie Xiao
wiley +1 more source
How do the time-varying risk prices behave in Japan? An investigation with a multivariate GARCH-CAPM approach [PDF]
This paper examines the pricing of month-by-month time-varying risks on the Japanese stock market over the period from 1981 to 2004. Using the multivariate GARCH model, we tested the conditional version of the Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin CAPM.
Tsuji, Chikashi
core +1 more source
Instantaneous Arbitrage and the CAPM [PDF]
This paper studies the concept of instantaneous arbitrage in continuous time and its relation to the instantaneous CAPM. Absence of instantaneous arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a trading strategy which satisfies the CAPM beta pricing relation in place of the market.
arxiv
Tsallis Relative entropy from asymmetric distributions as a risk measure for financial portfolios [PDF]
In an earlier study, we showed that Tsallis relative entropy (TRE), which is the generalization of Kullback-Leibler relative entropy (KLRE) to non-extensive systems, can be used as a possible risk measure in constructing risk optimal portfolios whose returns beat market returns.
arxiv
Forecasting Beta Using Ultra High Frequency Data
ABSTRACT This paper examines if using ultra high frequency (UHF, e.g., tick‐by‐tick) data could improve the accuracy of beta forecasts compared with using only moderately high frequency (MHF, minute‐level) data. We propose a novel two‐step paired t‐test for performance evaluation.
Jian Zhou
wiley +1 more source
Scope for Credit Risk Diversification [PDF]
This paper considers a simple model of credit risk and derives the limit distribution of losses under different assumptions regarding the structure of systematic risk and the nature of exposure or firm heterogeneity.
Anthony Saunders+46 more
core +2 more sources
Risk-return relationship: An empirical study of different statistical methods for estimating the Capital Asset Pricing Models (CAPM) and the Fama-French model for large cap stocks [PDF]
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is one of the original models in explaining risk-return relationship in the financial market. However, when applying the CAPM into reality, it demonstrates a lot of shortcomings. While improving the performance of the model, many studies, on one hand, have attempted to apply different statistical methods to ...
arxiv
Causal Network Representations in Factor Investing
ABSTRACT This paper explores the application of causal discovery algorithms to factor investing, addressing recent criticisms of correlation‐based models. We create novel causal network representations of the S&P 500 universe and apply them to three investment scenarios.
Clint Howard+2 more
wiley +1 more source
Does the conditional CAPM work? Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange [PDF]
This paper tests whether the conditional CAPM accurately prices assets utilizing data from the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) over the time period from February 1997 to April 2008. In our empirical analysis, we closely follow the methodology introduced in
Erşahin, Nuri, Yalçın, Atakan
core
Housing risk and the cross section of returns across many asset classes
Abstract This article documents that a single‐factor model based on shocks to the residential investment share, or the ratio of residential‐to‐nonresidential investment, exhibits strong explanatory power for expected returns across various characteristic‐sorted portfolios in equity and other asset classes. The residential investment share captures time‐
Sai Ma, Shaojun Zhang
wiley +1 more source