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Conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk: Estimation and Asymptotics [PDF]

open access: yesOperations Research, 2012
We discuss linear regression approaches to the estimation of law-invariant conditional risk measures. Two estimation procedures are considered and compared; one is based on residual analysis of the standard least-squares method, and the other is in the spirit of the M-estimation approach used in robust statistics.
Chun, So Yeon   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Determining Systemic Risk of Banks, Financial Services, and Insurance Firms of Pakistan

open access: yesJISR Management and Social Sciences & Economics, 2018
This paper contributes on the literature of systemic risk by investigating the extent of financial distress injected by banks, financial services, and insurance firms in the financial system of Pakistan.
Shumaila Zeb, Abdul Rashid
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting Returns, Volatilities and Correlations of Stock Indices Using Multivariate Conditional Autoregressive Range and Return Models

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
This paper extends the conditional autoregressive range (CARR) model to the multivariate CARR (MCARR) model and further to the two-stage MCARR-return model to model and forecast volatilities, correlations and returns of multiple financial assets.
Shay Kee Tan   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Presenting a Model for Multiple-Step-Ahead-Forecasting of Volatility and Conditional Value at Risk in Fossil Energy Markets [PDF]

open access: yesAUT Journal of Modeling and Simulation, 2018
Fossil energy markets have always been known as strategic and important markets. They have a significant impact on the macro economy and financial markets of the world.
E. Mohammadian Amiri, S. B. Ebrahimi
doaj   +1 more source

Using Entropy to Forecast Bitcoin’s Daily Conditional Value at Risk

open access: yesProceedings, 2019
Conditional value at risk (CVaR), or expected shortfall, is a risk measure for investments according to Rockafellar and Uryasev. Yamai and Yoshiba define CVaR as the conditional expectation of loss given that the loss is beyond the value at risk (VaR ...
Hellinton H. Takada   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Incorporating stand level risk management options into forest decision support systems

open access: yesForest Systems, 2018
Aim of study: To examine methods of incorporating risk and uncertainty to stand level forest decisions. Area of study: A case study examines a small forest holding from Jönköping, Sweden.
Kyle Eyvindson   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Conditional Value-at-Risk: Semiparametric estimation and inference [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 2016
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Wang, Chuan-Sheng, Zhao, Zhibiao
openaire   +2 more sources

Risk assessment of microgrid aggregators considering demand response and uncertain renewable energy sources

open access: yesJournal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy, 2019
In power market environment, the growing importance of demand response (DR) and renewable energy source (RES) attracts more for-profit DR and RES aggregators to compete with each other to maximize their profit.
Tirthadip Ghose   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Optimal reinsurance designs based on risk measures: a review

open access: yesStatistical Theory and Related Fields, 2020
Reinsurance is an effective way for an insurance company to control its risk. How to design an optimal reinsurance contract is not only a key topic in actuarial science, but also an interesting research question in mathematics and statistics.
Jun Cai, Yichun Chi
doaj   +1 more source

Assessing the Market Risk on the Government Debt of Kazakhstan and Bulgaria in Conditions of Turbulence

open access: yesRisks, 2022
The purpose of this publication is to quantify and compare the market risk on the external government debt of Kazakhstan and Bulgaria in the conditions of COVID-19, the emerging energy crisis, and the coup attempt in the first country. In particular, the
Olga Em   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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