Results 21 to 30 of about 111,969 (307)

Dependence Measuring from Conditional Variances

open access: yesDependence Modeling, 2015
Abstract A conditional variance is an indicator of the level of independence between two random variables. We exploit this intuitive relationship and define a measure v which is almost a measure of mutual complete dependence. Unsurprisingly, the measure attains its minimum value for many pairs of non-independent ran- dom variables ...
Kamnitui Noppadon   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Structural Break Tests Robust to Regression Misspecification

open access: yesEconometrics, 2018
Structural break tests for regression models are sensitive to model misspecification. We show—analytically and through simulations—that the sup Wald test for breaks in the conditional mean and variance of a time series process exhibits severe
Alaa Abi Morshed   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Duality in Mean-Variance Frontiers with Conditioning Information [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2007
Portfolio and stochastic discount factor (SDF) frontiers are usually regarded as dual objects, and researchers sometimes use one to answer questions about the other. However, the introduction of conditioning information and active portfolio strategies alters this relationship.
Peñaranda, Francisco, Sentana, Enrique
openaire   +5 more sources

Modeling and Recognition of Driving Fatigue State Based on R-R Intervals of ECG Data

open access: yesIEEE Access, 2019
Driving fatigue is an important contributing factor to traffic crashes. Developing a system that monitors the driver's fatigue level in real time and produces alarm signals when necessary, is important for the prevention of accidents. In the past decades,
Linhong Wang, Jingwei Li, Yunhao Wang
doaj   +1 more source

An analysis of conditional mean-variance portfolio performance using hierarchical clustering

open access: yesJournal of Finance and Data Science, 2023
This paper studies portfolio optimization through improvements of ex-ante conditional covariance estimates. We use the cross-section of stock returns over a 52-year sample to analyze trading performance by implementing the machine learning algorithm of ...
Stephen R. Owen
doaj   +1 more source

Modelling the persistence of conditional variances [PDF]

open access: yesEconometric Reviews, 1986
This paper will discuss the current research in building models of conditional variances using the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (ARCH) and Generalized ARCH (GARCH) formulations. The discussion will be motivated by a simple asset pricing theory which is particularly appropriate for examining futures contracts with risk averse agents. A new
Robert F. Engle, Tim Bollerslev
openaire   +1 more source

Risk Reduction of Portfolio based on Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model in Tehran Stock Exchange [PDF]

open access: yesتحقیقات مالی, 2012
Return maximization or risk minimization is goal in portfolio optimization based on mean variance theory. The structure of correlation matrices and individual variance of each asset are two main factors in optimization with risk minimization object. It’s
Gholamreza Eslami Bidgoli   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Financial Risk Measurement EVaR Based on DTARCH Models

open access: yesEntropy, 2023
The value at risk based on expectile (EVaR) is a very useful method to measure financial risk, especially in measuring extreme financial risk. The double-threshold autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (DTARCH) model is a valuable tool in assessing ...
Xiaoqian Liu   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Early warnings of regime shift when the ecosystem structure is unknown. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2012
Abrupt changes in dynamics of an ecosystem can sometimes be detected using monitoring data. Using nonparametric methods that assume minimal knowledge of the underlying structure, we compute separate estimates of the drift (deterministic) and diffusion ...
William A Brock, Stephen R Carpenter
doaj   +1 more source

On Variance Conditions for Markov Chain CLTs

open access: yesElectronic Communications in Probability, 2007
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Haggstrom, Olle, Rosenthal, Jeffrey
openaire   +2 more sources

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