Results 111 to 120 of about 505,642 (295)
Forecasting Volatility and Spillovers in Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets [PDF]
Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR).
Roengchai Tansuchat +2 more
core +2 more sources
Vernacular Futurism: How Persian Language Users Imagine AI
AI &Innovation, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Public discourse about artificial intelligence increasingly unfolds through compressed forecasts, moral warnings, and everyday speculation circulating at platform speed. This study examines how Persian language users on X construct and contest AI futures, analyzing a corpus of 4741 posts collected between January 2023 and December 2025, with ...
Arthur Asa Berger, Ehsan Shahghasemi
wiley +1 more source
Asymmetric Conditional Volatility Models: Empirical Estimation and Comparison of Forecasting Accuracy [PDF]
This paper compares several statistical models for daily stock return volatility in terms of sample fit and out-of-sample forecast ability. The focus is on U.S. and Romanian daily stock return data corresponding to the 2002-2010 time interval.
Tudor, Cristiana, Miron, Dumitru
core
, 2005 Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic forecasting in recent decades. This chapter provides a selective survey of the most important theoretical developments and empirical ...
Tim Bollerslev +7 more
core
Volatility Modeling and Spillover: The Turkish and Russian Stock Markets
Istanbul Business ResearchThis study investigates the internal and external (spillover) characteristics of the volatility of the Turkish and Russian stock market indices. To this end, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models that are classified as short ...
Ahmet Galip Gençyürek
doaj +1 more source
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.Abstract Germany's Renewable Energy Sources Act (REA), enacted in 2000 and subsequently amended, subsidized national renewable energy production with fixed feed‐in tariffs for renewable energy sources (RE) from wind, solar, and biogas. Empirical studies suggest that the policy was creating windfall effects for landowners and attribute farmland use ...
Lars Isenhardt +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Lost in aggregation? On the importance of local food price data for food poverty estimates
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.Abstract This paper explores within‐country variations in food price dynamics and food poverty estimates by employing local market price data and national consumer price index (CPI) data. Our results show that national CPI data may be useful for approximating national trends but they fail to detect and identify spatial variations in local trends, which
Stephan Dietrich +4 more
wiley +1 more source
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.Abstract Preferential trade agreements (PTAs) contain various non‐tariff provisions, yet identifying their trade effects remains challenging because these commitments are high‐dimensional and strongly correlated within agreements. We estimated a theory‐consistent structural gravity model with domestic flows for 26 agricultural subsectors over 1988–2017
Dongin Kim, Sandro Steinbach
wiley +1 more source
Trading volume and volatility of stock returns: Evidence from some European and Asian stock markets
Quantitative Methods in Economics, 2011 This paper analyses the relationship between the daily volatility of stock returns and the trading volume using the TGARCH models for selected European and Asian stock markets. The leverage effect has been proved in all analysed cases.
Michaela Chocholatá
doaj
The role of venture‐financed startups in innovation for US agriculture
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.Abstract To evaluate the role played by startup companies in the innovation ecosystem of US agriculture, we compile a unique dataset of 6024 new entrants founded 1987–2019 that details their financing lifecycles, annual economic performance, and patenting activities.
Gregory D. Graff +2 more
wiley +1 more source