Results 11 to 20 of about 525,958 (299)

Conditional Volatility Targeting [PDF]

open access: yesFinancial Analysts Journal, 2020
In analyzing the performance of volatility-targeting strategies, we found that conventional volatility targeting fails to consistently improve performance in global equity markets and can lead to markedly greater drawdowns. Motivated by return patterns in various volatility states, we propose a strategy of conditional volatility targeting that adjusts ...
Dion Bongaerts   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Autoregresive conditional volatility, skewness and kurtosis [PDF]

open access: yesThe Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2005
Ángel León and Gonzalo Rubio acknowledge the financial support provided by the Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnología, grants BEC2002-03797 and BEC2001-0636 respectively, and also thank the Fundación BBVA research grant 1-BBVA 00044.321-15466/2002.
León, Angel   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

A Stochastic Volatility Model With Conditional Skewness [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2008
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows current asset returns to be asymmetric conditional on current factors and past information, what we term ...
Bruno Feunou, Roméo Tédongap
openaire   +2 more sources

Alternative models for conditional stock volatility [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 1990
Abstract This paper compares several statistical models for monthly stock return volatility. The focus is on U.S. data from 1834-1925 because the post-1926 data have been analyzed in more detail by others. Also, the Great Depression had levels of stock volatility that are inconsistent with stationary models for conditional heteroskedasticity. We show
Adrian R. Pagan, G. William Schwert
openaire   +1 more source

Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 2001
We exploit the distributional information contained in high-frequency intraday data in constructing a simple conditional moment estimator for stochastic volatility diffusions. The estimator is based on the analytical solutions of the first two conditional moments for the latent integrated volatility, the realization of which is effectively approximated
Bollerslev, T, Zhou, H
openaire   +3 more sources

Idiosyncratic Volatility, Conditional Liquidity and Stock Returns [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2016
Juliana Malagon acknowledges financial support from Universidad de Los Andes, Fondo de Apoyo para Profesores Asistentes [grant number P17.100322.004]. David Moreno acknowledges financial support from Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnología [grant number ECO2013-42849-P].
Malagon, Juliana   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Conditional Volatility, Skewness and Kurtosis: Existence and Persistence [PDF]

open access: yes, 2001
Recent portfolio choice, asset pricing, and option valuation models highlight the importance of skewness and kurtosis. Since skewness and kurtosis are related to extreme variations, they are also important for Value-at-Risk measurements. Our framework builds on a GARCH model with a conditional generalized-t distribution for residuals.
Eric Jondeau, Georg Michael Rockinger
openaire   +2 more sources

Predicting volatility and correlations with Financial Conditions Indexes [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Empirical Finance, 2013
We model the impact of financial conditions on asset market volatilities and correlations. We extend the Spline-GARCH model for volatility and DCC model for correlation to allow for inclusion of indexes that measure financial conditions. In our empirical application we consider daily stock returns of US deposit banks during the period 1994-2011, and ...
Anne Opschoor   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Modelling Conditional Correlations in the Volatility of Asian Rubber Spot and Futures Returns [PDF]

open access: yes
Asia is presently the most important market for the production and consumption of natural rubber. World prices of rubber are not only subject to changes in demand, but also to speculation regarding future markets.
Roengchai Tansuchat   +3 more
core   +6 more sources

Exponential Conditional Volatility Models [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
The asymptotic distribution of maximum likelihood estimators is derived for a class of exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) models. The result carries over to models for duration and realised volatility that use an exponential link function. A key feature of the model formulation is that the dynamics are driven
openaire   +3 more sources

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