Assessing the Impact of Promotions on Consumer Purchasing Behavior During Crises
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Understanding how households modify their food expenditure decisions during times of crisis is essential because consumer purchasing behavior frequently changes during these times. This study looks at these behavioral shifts during the COVID‐19 pandemic, concentrating on how price sensitivity and response to sales promotions changed over the ...
Wafa Mehaba, José María Gil
wiley +1 more source
AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL VOLATILITY, SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS [PDF]
This paper proposes a GARCH-type model allowing for time-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis. The model is estimated assuming a Gram-Charlier series expansion of the normal density function for the error term, which is easier to estimate than the ...
Ángel León +2 more
core
Analyzing and Forecasting Volatility Spillovers and Asymmetries in Major Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets [PDF]
Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR).
Chang, C., McAleer, M.J., Tansuchat, R.
core +4 more sources
Cost Pass‐Through in Crisis: Evidence From the German Malt‐Beer Supply Chain
Agribusiness, EarlyView.Abstract Global agri‐food supply chains are increasingly exposed to geopolitical shocks, climate volatility, and market consolidation, factors that disrupt traditional price relationships and reshape market power dynamics. Nowhere is this more visible than in the brewing sector, where agricultural raw materials meet complex industrial processing and ...
Nikolas Bublik, Lukáš Čechura
wiley +1 more source
Target zones and conditional volatility: the role of realignments [PDF]
This paper examines the relationship between the conditional volatility of target zone exchange rates and realignments of the system. To investigate this question, modified jump diffusion Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH ...
Christopher J. Neely
core
When the River Runs Low: Heterogeneous Impacts of Transportation Disruptions on Local Grain Basis
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT A substantial share of U.S. soybean and corn exports from the Midwest moves by barge along the Mississippi River system to export terminals in the Louisiana Gulf. Transportation costs between Midwestern grain elevators and export terminals create a wedge between prices at these locations, and shocks to these costs are partially passed on to ...
Yuan Zhang +3 more
wiley +1 more source
"Modelling Conditional Correlations for Risk Diversification in Crude Oil Markets" [PDF]
This paper estimates univariate and multivariate conditional volatility and conditional correlation models of spot, forward and futures returns from three major benchmarks of international crude oil markets, namely Brent, WTI and Dubai, to aid in risk ...
Roengchai Tansuchat +2 more
core +2 more sources
Effects of investor sentiment and country governance on unexpected conditional volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from global stock markets. [PDF]
Int Rev Financ Anal, 2022 Hsu YL, Tang L.
europepmc +1 more source
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Past growth in the global organic market has been concentrated in high‐income countries, while in middle‐income countries such as Serbia the organic market remains nascent and characterized by a sparse assortment of organic products, high retail premia and limited evidence on consumer preferences and their drivers.
Milan Tatic +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Value-at-risk modeling and forecasting with range-based volatility models: empirical evidence
Revista Contabilidade & FinançasThis article considers range-based volatility modeling for identifying and forecasting conditional volatility models based on returns. It suggests the inclusion of range measuring, defined as the difference between the maximum and minimum price of an ...
Leandro dos Santos Maciel +1 more
doaj +1 more source