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Confidence in preferences [PDF]
Indeterminate preferences have long been a tricky subject for choice theory. One reason for which preferences may be less than fully determinate is the lack of confidence in one’s preferences.
Hill, Brian
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We examine the choice of economic reforms when policymakers have present-biased preferences and can choose to discard information (maintain confidence) to mitigate distortions from excess discounting.
Haaparanta, Pertti, Pirttilä, Jukka
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Response to the comment Confidence in confidence distributions! [PDF]
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Ryan Martin +2 more
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Confidence in confidence distributions! [PDF]
The recent article ‘Satellite conjunction analysis and the false confidence theorem’ (Balch et al . 2019, Satellite conjunction analysis and the false confidence theorem. Proc. R. Soc. A 475 , 20180565) points to certain difficulties with Bayesian analysis when used for models for
Céline Cunen +2 more
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Understanding how people rate their confidence is critical for characterizing a wide range of perceptual, memory, motor, and cognitive processes. However, as in many other fields, progress has been slowed by the difficulty of collecting new data and the unavailability of existing data.
Dobromir Rahnev +82 more
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Co-Displayed Items Aware List Recommendation
Existing recommender systems usually generate personalized recommendation lists based on the estimation of the preference scores over user-item pairs, while ignoring the impacts of the entire display list that plays a central part in the decision making ...
Junshuai Song +6 more
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Understanding Application-Battery Interactions on Smartphones: A Large-Scale Empirical Study
Current generation of smartphones is running more and more complex applications that reduce the battery life to as short as several hours. Thus, it becomes very important to understand the diversities of applications installed on smartphones and how ...
Yao Guo, Chengke Wang, Xiangqun Chen
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Adaptive confidence balls [PDF]
Adaptive confidence balls are constructed for individual resolution levels as well as the entire mean vector in a multiresolution framework. Finite sample lower bounds are given for the minimum expected squared radius for confidence balls with a ...
Cai, T. Tony, Low, Mark G.
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The fallacy of placing confidence in confidence intervals [PDF]
Interval estimates - estimates of parameters that include an allowance for sampling uncertainty - have long been touted as a key component of statistical analyses. There are several kinds of interval estimates, but the most popular are confidence intervals (CIs): intervals that contain the true parameter value in some known proportion of repeated ...
Morey, Richard D +4 more
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