Results 11 to 20 of about 3,320,624 (262)

Individual consistency in the accuracy and distribution of confidence judgments [PDF]

open access: greenCognition, 2016
We examine which aspects of the confidence distributions - its shape, its bias toward higher or lower values, and its ability to distinguish correct from erred trials - are idiosyncratic of the who (individual specificity), the when (variability across days) and the what (task specificity).
Pablo Barttfeld   +4 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Confidence in confidence distributions! [PDF]

open access: yesProceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2020
The recent article ‘Satellite conjunction analysis and the false confidence theorem’ (Balch et al . 2019, Satellite conjunction analysis and the false confidence theorem. Proc. R. Soc. A 475 , 20180565) points to certain difficulties with Bayesian analysis when used for models for
Céline Cunen   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Confidence Distributions for FIC Scores [PDF]

open access: yesEconometrics, 2020
When using the Focused Information Criterion (FIC) for assessing and ranking candidate models with respect to how well they do for a given estimation task, it is customary to produce a so-called FIC plot. This plot has the different point estimates along the y-axis and the root-FIC scores on the x-axis, these being the estimated root-mean-square scores.
Céline Cunen, Nils Lid Hjort
openaire   +6 more sources

Predicting with Confidence on Unseen Distributions [PDF]

open access: yes2021 IEEE/CVF International Conference on Computer Vision (ICCV), 2021
ICCV Camera ready; new scatter plots in supplementary ...
Guillory, Devin   +4 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Generalized Confidence Intervals for Zero-Inflated Pareto Distribution

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
This paper considers interval estimations for the mean of Pareto distribution with excess zeros. Three approaches for interval estimation are proposed based on fiducial generalized pivotal quantities (FGPQs), respectively.
Xiao Wang, Xinmin Li
doaj   +1 more source

Extreme Path Delay Estimation of Critical Paths in Within-Die Process Fluctuations Using Multi-Parameter Distributions

open access: yesJournal of Low Power Electronics and Applications, 2023
Two multi-parameter distributions, namely the Pearson type IV and metalog distributions, are discussed and suggested as alternatives to the normal distribution for modelling path delay data that determines the maximum clock frequency (FMAX) of a ...
Miikka Runolinna   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Confidence Interval for Quantile Ratio of the Dagum Distribution

open access: yesRevstat Statistical Journal, 2021
Inequality measures based on ratios of quantiles are frequently applied in economic research, especially to the analysis of income distributions. In the paper, we construct a confidence interval for such measures under the Dagum distribution which has ...
Alina Jędrzejczak   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

On approximate robust confidence distributions

open access: yesEconometrics and Statistics, 2023
A confidence distribution is a complete tool for making frequentist inference for a parameter of interest $ψ$ based on an assumed parametric model. Indeed, it allows to reach point estimates, to assess their precision, to set up tests along with measures of evidence for statements of the type "$ψ> ψ_0$" or "$ψ_1 \leq ψ\leq ψ_2$", to derive ...
Elena Bortolato, Laura Ventura
openaire   +2 more sources

Singhing with Confidence: Visualising the Performance of Confidence Structures [PDF]

open access: yes, 2021
Confidence intervals are an established means of portraying uncertainty about an inferred parameter and can be generated through the use of confidence distributions. For a confidence distribution to be ideal, it must maintain frequentist coverage of the true parameter. This can be represented for a precise distribution by adherence to a cumulative unit
arxiv   +1 more source

Minimum Area Confidence Region for Weibull Distribution Based on Records

open access: yesRevstat Statistical Journal, 2021
Record values are commonly seen in real life applications, and many important studies on record values relate to Weibull distributions. Based on record values, we establish the minimum area confidence region for the two-parameter Weibull distribution ...
Junmei Zhou , Fen Jiang , Jin Zhang
doaj   +1 more source

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