Results 41 to 50 of about 484 (182)
Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk [PDF]
ABSTRACTFor many years, scholars and investment professionals have argued that value strategies outperform the market. These value strategies call for buying stocks that have low prices relative to earnings, dividends, book assets, or other measures of fundamental value.
Lakonishok, Josef +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
When Is a Contrarian Adviser Optimal?
We compare contrarian to conformist advice, a contrarian expert being one whose preference bias is against the decision-maker’s prior optimal decision. Optimality of an expert depends on characteristics of prior information and learning. If either the expert is fully informed or fine information can be acquired cheaply, then for symmetric distributions
Evans, Robert, Reiche, Sönje
openaire +3 more sources
Measuring Frame Evolution: Smoothed Temporal Framing Trajectories in Complex Policy Debates
Abstract The European Union faces long‐term governance challenges in contested domains, such as migration management, health data sharing, and facial recognition technology. Across these fields, political debates are shaped by shifting ways in which actors frame problems and solutions. Understanding how such framing contests evolve over time is crucial
Philip Leifeld, Kristijan Garic
wiley +1 more source
Rational Speculators, Contrarians and Excess Volatility [PDF]
The VAR approach for testing present value models is applied to a nonlinear asset pricing model with three types of agents, using historical US stock prices and dividends.
Lof, Matthijs
core
Media Market Structure and Confirmatory News
ABSTRACT This paper studies the effect of media market competition on confirmatory bias, the tendency to confirm common priors to appear competent, while accounting for both single‐ and multi‐homing. It finds that competition helps sustain informative reporting when priors are relatively precise, but has the opposite effect when priors are diffuse. The
Elena Panova
wiley +1 more source
Optimal campaign strategy for social media marketing with a contrarian population
International audienceWe address formally the problem of opinion dynamics when the social network composed of conformists and contrarians are not only influenced by their neighbors, but also by an external influential entity referred to as a marketer ...
Varma, Vineeth +7 more
core +1 more source
In this paper we offer a comprehensive review of Sociophysics, focusing on relevant models as well as selected applications in social trading, behavioral finance and business.
Dimitris Tsintsaris +2 more
doaj +1 more source
That sinkin’ feeling: Environmentally induced distress on a disappearing island
Abstract Residents of Tangier Island, Virginia, a subsiding island in the Chesapeake Bay, embody psychosocial dimensions of environmental change. Analysis of ethnographic data shows islanders’ experiences and articulations of anxiety, panic, and despair as “that sinkin’ feeling,” resulting from the stress of living with the long‐term threat of imminent
Jonna Yarrington
wiley +1 more source
Replication Data for Scientists’ Petitions Concerning Climate Change
No prior studies considering the signatories of scientific petitions which do and do not support the consensus on anthropogenic climate change exist. Additionally, little focus is paid to the support for climate change action of scientific communities ...
Ripple, William J. +2 more
core +1 more source
Anchored or Adrift? A Note on Measuring Inflation Expectations Anchoring
ABSTRACT We develop a behavioural model of inflation which contains an indicator that quantifies the expectations unanchoring risk over the business cycle. We estimate this model using US and Canadian inflation and output gap data. We find that during the post‐pandemic inflation surge, the macroeconomic data are compatible with non mean‐reverting ...
Olena Kostyshyna +2 more
wiley +1 more source

