Results 191 to 200 of about 24,138 (305)

Volcanic Forcing Amplifies Extreme Wet‐to‐Dry in Pre‐Flood South China Driven by Internal Variability

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract Dry‐wet whiplash events profoundly impact society and the environment, yet their attribution remain poorly understood. This study reveals that the unprecedented interannual wet‐to‐dry transition (return period: 979.2 years) in South China's 1962–1963 pre‐flood season is co‐driven by internal variability and volcanic forcing.
Qi Wen   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Spatiotemporal imbalance of regional water shortage risk based on copulas and concentration index. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Qian T   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

A Method of Moments Estimator of Tail Dependence in Elliptical Copula Models

open access: yes
An elliptical copula model is a distribution function whose copula is that of an elliptical distri- bution. The tail dependence function in such a bivariate model has a parametric representation with two parameters: a tail parameter and a correlation ...
Krajina, A.
core  

Large‐Scale Moisture Circulation Index Related to Socioeconomic Drought and Its Subseasonal Forecast Skill in the Asian Monsoon Rainy Season

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 131, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract Socioeconomic drought, which occurs when water demand exceeds available supply and often leads to water withdrawal restrictions, affects water resource management. However, the relationship between large‐scale moisture circulation and the occurrence of socioeconomic drought has not been well understood. In this study, we focused on the Yoshino
Yuta Tamaki, Noriko N. Ishizaki
wiley   +1 more source

The Multiscale Non‐Gaussian Statistics of Free‐Running 1000‐Member General Circulation Model Ensembles

open access: yesAtmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
This study investigates the multiscale evolution of forecast distributions using 1000‐member global circulation model ensembles. Initially different distributions converge to the same time‐varying equilibrium distribution, and the equilibration time scale noticeably exceeds the variance saturation time. Prior to equilibration, the forecast distribution
Man‐Yau Chan   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Causal Effect Estimation With TMLE: Handling Missing Data and Near Violations of Positivity

open access: yesBiometrical Journal, Volume 68, Issue 3, June 2026.
ABSTRACT We evaluate the performance of targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) for estimating the average treatment effect in missing data scenarios under varying levels of positivity violations. We employ model‐ and design‐based simulations, with the latter using undersmoothed highly adaptive lasso on the “WASH Benefits Bangladesh” data set to ...
Christoph Wiederkehr   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Two‐Stage Multiple Test Procedures Controlling False Discovery Rate With Auxiliary Variable and Their Application to Set4Δ$\Delta$ Mutant Data

open access: yesBiometrical Journal, Volume 68, Issue 3, June 2026.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we present novel methodologies that incorporate auxiliary variables for multiple hypotheses testing related to the main point of interest while effectively controlling the false discovery rate. When dealing with multiple tests concerning the primary variable of interest, researchers can use auxiliary variables to set ...
Seohwa Hwang   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Copula Estimation for GARCH(1, 1) Processes

open access: yes
The possibility of identifying nonlinear time series using nonparametric estimates of the conditional mean and conditional variance were studied in many papers.
Fjodorovs, Jegors, Matvejevs, Andrejs
core  

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy