Revisiting price linkages between London and Shanghai base metal futures markets: A time-frequency connectedness analysis. [PDF]
Pan C, Shen W.
europepmc +1 more source
Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Globalization and health in an emerging new world order. [PDF]
Labonté R +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley +1 more source
Managing technological sovereignty: a systematic review of semiconductor industry policy and regional ecosystem governance. [PDF]
Cai J +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
A Comparative Study on Critical Geopolitics and Geographical Geopolitics
openaire +1 more source
ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley +1 more source
Tracing the geopolitical influences on the morphological and functional transformation in Guangdong merchant ships: Knowledge mining from the Ming and Qing maritime archives. [PDF]
Ao J +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
‘The anti-imperialism of fools’: a cautionary story on the revolutionary socialist vanguard of England’s post-9/11 anti-war movement [PDF]
Bassi, Camila
core
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková +4 more
wiley +1 more source

