Results 221 to 230 of about 4,485 (286)

The stabilization and destabilization of marine carbon observations: Co-producing knowledge in murky waters. [PDF]

Marit Stud
Haegele R.
europepmc   +1 more source

Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis, Dimitrios Bakas, Theodora Bermpei, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Geopolitical risks in energy system models: hindcasting in 31 European countries

Gavrikov A, Wen X, Merrone L, Trutnevyte E.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Moving beyond the empty cell: The threat of decontextualized healthcare data. [PDF]

PLOS Digit Health
El Mir A, de Sousa EB, Mesina-Estarrón I, Celi LA, Hani M, Benjelloun M, Nageswaran N, Mahmoudi S, Siddiqui S, Sadasivam S, Mitchell WG.   +10 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Global Insights Into Term Spreads: Unveiling Their Predictive Power During Unconventional Monetary Policy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley   +1 more source

Geo-psychiatry: an Emerging New Discipline in Psychiatry. [PDF]

Noro Psikiyatr Ars
Javed A, Persaud A.
europepmc   +1 more source

Geopolitical Awareness and Criticism

Geographical Review of Japa,. Ser. A, Chirigaku Hyoron, 1997
openaire   +2 more sources

Identifying Drivers of Deviations From Rational Expectations: Using a New Irrational Index for Inflation Forecasts

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley   +1 more source

1925-2025: a century of international pharmaceutical law. [PDF]

J Pharm Policy Pract
Riboulet-Zemouli K.
europepmc   +1 more source

Exploring the Nexus Between Sustainability Index and Central European Stock Markets Competitiveness: Evidence Through Time–Frequency Analysis and SHAP

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková, Dipak Kumar Jana, Michal Páleš, Elena Fleaca, Petr Dostál   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source