Results 151 to 160 of about 207 (176)

The Accuracy Smoothness Dilemma in Prediction: A Novel Multivariate M‐SSA Forecast Approach

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting presents a complex estimation challenge, as it involves balancing multiple, often conflicting, priorities and objectives. Conventional forecast optimization methods typically emphasize a single metric, such as minimizing the mean squared error (MSE), which may neglect other crucial aspects of predictive performance. To address this
Marc Wildi
wiley   +1 more source

Sparse Causal Dynamic Linear Regression

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a sparse causal dynamic regression framework for long multivariate time series. With very long time series, the potentially large number of lags and leads in a dynamic regression model often makes time‐domain estimation numerically unstable or intractable.
Rui Huang, Kung‐Sik Chan
wiley   +1 more source

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.
Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Mean–Variance Portfolio Optimization: Mean–Variance–Variance Criterion Versus Mean–Variance–Standard Deviation Criterion

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem under the mean–variance–variance (M‐V‐V) criterion proposed by Maccheroni et al. It is an analogue of the Arrow–Pratt approximation to the well‐known smooth ambiguity model. Under the standard Black–Scholes framework, we derive fully explicit equilibrium investment strategies in which a DM's ...
David Landriault, Bin Li, Yuanyuan Zhang
wiley   +1 more source

Why Are All the Sets All the Sets?

Noûs, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Necessitists about set theory think that the pure sets exists, and are the way they are, as a matter of necessity. They cannot explain why the sets (de rebus) are all the sets. This constitutes the Ur‐Objection against necessitism; it is the primary motivation cited by potentialists about set theory.
Tim Button
wiley   +1 more source

Is A Little Learning Dangerous?

Noûs, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT I argue that a little learning is often dangerous even for ideal reasoners who are operating in extremely simple scenarios and know all the relevant facts about how the evidence is generated. More precisely, I show that, on many plausible ways of assigning value to a credence in a hypothesis H, ideal Bayesians should sometimes expect other ...
Bernhard Salow
wiley   +1 more source

A note on cut-elimination for classical propositional logic

Archive for Mathematical Logic, 2021
Gabriele Pulcini
exaly  

Kripke-Completeness and Cut-elimination Theorems for Intuitionistic Paradefinite Logics With and Without Quasi-Explosion

Journal of Philosophical Logic, 2020
Norihiro Kamide
exaly