Results 131 to 140 of about 102,444 (290)

Covariance of the intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet in Sahelian wet and dry years

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet (AEJ) positions are strongly correlated, with a more pronounced linear relationship across wet years. Surface heat flux anomalies modify low‐level temperature and sensible heat flux gradients that shift the AEJ core south of the gradient maxima in both composites.
Marian Amoakowaah Osei, Cornelia Klein, Christopher M. Taylor, Douglas J. Parker, Michael Baidu   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Does vertical wind shear increase tropical cyclone rain?

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A 26‐year modern precipitation dataset is used to systematically assess tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall responses to vertical wind shear (VWS). VWS enhances rainfall volume in TCs by up to 23%, despite reducing storm intensity, revealing a trade‐off where VWS mitigates wind damage but potentially amplifies flood risk.
King Heng Lau, Ralf Toumi
wiley   +1 more source

Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford, Suzanne L. Gray, Thomas H. A. Frame, Aurore N. Porson, Marco Milan   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Moisture and wind effects of Rossby waves on Western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone breakdown events

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
(a) Organized convection: clouds are clustered at the southern edge of the domain, aligning with the warmest SST. Northeasterly winds prevail, facilitating convection confinement to the southern part of the domain. (b) ITCZ breakdown: the clouds are spread throughout the domain.
Alejandro Casallas, Adrian Mark Tompkins, Caroline Muller   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Indian and African monsoons: Trajectories and interactions

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The catch basin of marine air particles of the Indian monsoon is the tropical Indian ocean, whilst that of the African monsoon is the east tropical Atlantic. However, the oscillations induced by the monsoonal interactions favour particle exchange between the two basins. These transitions are abrupt in the presence of stochastic resonance. The monsoonal
Giovanni A. Dalu, Marina Baldi
wiley   +1 more source

Spatial and temporal variability of wet spells and their role in wet and dry summers and winters in Australia

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The change in the frequency of wet spells in tropical Australia in summer primarily contributes to the change in precipitation between wet and dry years. In the extratropics, both the frequency and intensity of wet spells are important, especially in winter.
Sunil Pariyar, Christian Jakob, Michael Barnes, Martin Singh, Michael Reeder   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

The characteristics of squall lines in the Southeast Asia region

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Squall lines over the Maritime Continent were analysed using 20 years of IMERG GPM data and classified into four regional clusters. Significant regional differences were found in their size, intensity, lifespan, and propagation. Nighttime squall lines are primarily driven by the convergence of opposing offshore flows and the convergence of monsoonal ...
Jeong‐Yik Diong, Prince Xavier, Muhammad Firdaus Ammar Abdullah, Juliane Schwendike   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The non‐hydrostatic option of the ECMWF global weather forecast model: Improvements for kilometre‐scale modelling

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study presents improvements to the non‐hydrostatic version of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), enabling stable global simulations at 1.4‐km resolution. A systematic comparison with the hydrostatic version at resolutions from 9 to 1.4 km shows that non‐hydrostatic effects emerge in ...
Jozef Vivoda, Inna Polichtchouk, Michail Diamantakis, Filip Váňa   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Modulation of North Atlantic atmospheric rivers by the Gulf Stream

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Gulf Stream ocean variability plays a key role in modulating atmospheric river (AR) activity over the North Atlantic during winter and spring at monthly time‐scales. Increased ocean heat transport and mesoscale activity in the Gulf Stream are linked to northward shifts in ARs, while stronger surface heat fluxes drive ARs southward.
Ferran Lopez‐Marti, Arnaud Czaja, Gabriele Messori, Anna Rutgersson   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Polar‐low track prediction using machine‐learning methods

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Machine‐learning models are developed to produce reliable and efficient forecasts of polar‐low (PL) trajectories 12 hours ahead. A temporal model (RLSTM) benefiting from the rolling‐forecast strategy, improves overall prediction accuracy and is suitable for quick experimentation, while a spatiotemporal model (PL‐UNet), incorporating both historical and
Ziying Yang, Rune Grand Graversen, Filippo Maria Bianchi, Jiping Liu, Ruibo Lei   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source