Results 161 to 170 of about 102,444 (290)

Homicide, punishment and deterrence in Australia

open access: yesSouthern Economic Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Australian data encompassing 1910–2022, by year and state, were analyzed to estimate the effect of capital punishment on homicide rates. Our estimates showed that capital punishment had a negative and significant effect on homicides. In some specifications, the estimates implied that an execution was associated with 12.68 fewer homicides ...
Hugh Farrell, Vincent O'Sullivan
wiley   +1 more source

Probability forecasts – Part 2: will people understand?

open access: yesWeather, EarlyView.
Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational NWP systems. Part 1 introduced the rationale for ensemble forecasts and the production of useful forecasts.
Ken Mylne
wiley   +1 more source

Performance of the operational ECMWF ensemble in predicting heavy rain associated with the Emilia‐Romagna flood in May 2023

open access: yesWeather, EarlyView.
A devastating flood occurred in May 2023 in the Emilia‐Romagna region in northern Italy after 2 days with widespread accumulated precipitation exceeding 150mm. The event was associated with a quasi‐stationary upper‐level cutoff cyclone. This study investigates the performance of the operational ECMWF ensemble prediction system in capturing the cutoff ...
Hei Tung Wu   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Comparative evaluation of data‐driven weather forecast models performance for medium‐ to extended‐range weather forecasting and tropical cyclone genesis in 2024

open access: yesWeather, EarlyView.
This study examines the performance of state‐of‐the‐art artificial intelligence (AI) weather forecasting models in 2024. For tropical cyclone genesis forecasts in the western North Pacific, AI models generally perform better than the physics‐based European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS ...
C. H. Ho   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Extreme rainfall in Madeira: the June 2023 weather event

open access: yesWeather, EarlyView.
This study investigates the meteorological conditions behind the extreme precipitation event on 6 June 2023 over Madeira Island, Portugal. The event set a national daily record of 497.5mm and was unusual for occurring in early summer, as most extremes in the region occur in winter.
Tiago M. Ferreira   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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